Match 3
Pakistan T20I Tri-Series 2025
November 22, 2025, 6:30 pm
Pakistan Logo
Pakistan
Odds » 1.55
VS.
Sri Lanka Logo
Sri Lanka
Odds » 2.45
Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Rawalpindi

PAK vs SL Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: Pakistan T20I Tri-Series 2025, Match 3, November 22

Published on: Nov 22, 2025 6:30 am IST | Updated on: Nov 21, 2025 4:29 pm IST

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As the action of the Pakistan T20I tri-nation series continues, it’s time for match no. 3, wherein two Asian giants, Pakistan and Sri Lanka, will be squaring off at the Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Rawalpindi. Pakistan kicked off this series with a win over Zimbabwe, whereas Sri Lanka suffered a shocking defeat at the hands of Zimbabwe in the second game of this series. In this post, we have come up with free expert tips for the 3rd match, PAK vs SL, at the Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium in Rawalpindi.

Win Probability: PAK vs SL

Pakistan has kicked off their series with a thrilling win over Zimbabwe, whereas Sri Lanka lost to the same opposition in a one-sided affair the other night. Pakistan is booming with confidence, and they outclassed Sri Lanka as well in the recently concluded ODI series by 3-0. Therefore, Pakistan should start as the favorites in this game, and the win probability meter should lean in their favor. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the 3rd match, PAK vs SL, at the Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium in Rawalpindi.

PAK: 64% win chance
SL: 36% win chance

  • Sri Lanka is going through a lean patch in T20Is. They have now lost their last 4 games on the trot.
  • Pakistan, on the other hand, have managed to win 3 of their last 5 T20Is. This also includes 2 losses.
  • Sri Lanka, however, leads the race in recent T20I meetings between these two sides. They have won 4 of the last 5 games played between the two sides, with Pakistan winning the most recent one in Asia Cup 2025 by 5 wickets.

Cricket Betting Tips for PAK vs SL- 3rd Match

Sahibzada Farhan to score Over 21.5

The Pakistan opener is known to take on the bowlers inside the powerplay. Farhan has scored 275 runs in his last 10 T20 innings and will be a crucial bet in this match.

Pathum Nissanka to score Over 23.5

The Sri Lankan opener had a rare failure in the last game as he got out for a duck. He has been Sri Lanka's most consistent batter in recent times in T20Is, and the onus would be on him to give his team a strong start. He has amassed 357 runs from his last 10 T20I innings.

Babar Azam to score Over 25.5

The former skipper got out for a duck in the last game against Zimbabwe. However, he will be keen to return among runs in this game.

Dasun Shanaka to score Over 15.5

The Sri Lankan skipper hit some lusty blows down the order to get his team closer to the target but eventually couldn't help his team win the game. His 34 off 25 were crucial in the last game, and Shanaka will look to deliver again in this game.

PAK vs SL Today’s Match Prediction

Check out our prediction for the PAK vs SL 3rd match at the Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium in Rawalpindi.

Pakistan would be eyeing their second win of the series

Pakistan will be eyeing their second win of the tri-series when they take on Sri Lanka in Rawalpindi on November 22. After edging past Zimbabwe by five wickets in a nervy opener, the hosts will be keen to put up a more commanding performance. Pakistan has been doing well in recent times in T20Is and will be looking to pound on a struggling Lankan outfit.

Sri Lanka, on the other hand, will be desperate to bounce back and prove their credentials. Their batting collapse in the previous game exposed frailties that Pakistan’s bowlers, particularly Shaheen Afridi, will look to exploit. With spin expected to play a role on the Rawalpindi surface, the duo of Abrar Ahmed and Mohammad Nawaz could be key figures in restricting Sri Lanka’s scoring.

Momentum is firmly with Pakistan, but complacency could be costly. A win here would not only strengthen their grip on the series but also boost confidence ahead of tougher challenges.

Sri Lanka will look to return to winning ways before it is too late

Sri Lanka will be desperate to return to winning ways before the tri-series slips out of their grasp. After suffering a heavy 67-run defeat against Zimbabwe, their campaign has already been put under pressure. The batting unit, which faltered badly in the opening game, must regroup quickly and deliver a more disciplined performance. Experienced players like Kusal Mendis and Kusal Perera will need to shoulder responsibility, while the younger talents like Patthum Nissanka and Nuwan Thushara must rise to the occasion to keep the team’s hopes alive.

Bowling too requires sharper execution, as wayward spells allowed Zimbabwe to pile on runs with ease. Wanindu Hasaranga’s role as a strike bowler becomes even more crucial, and Sri Lanka will look to him for breakthroughs in the middle overs. Facing Pakistan next, the challenge is formidable, but a strong collective effort could turn the tide.

With the tri-series being short, every game carries heavy significance. Another defeat would leave Sri Lanka staring at elimination, making this clash a must-win encounter. For Sri Lanka, it is a chance to reset quickly and stay alive in the competition. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

PAK vs SL Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 24
PAK won: 14
SL won: 10
No Result: 4
Tied: 0
RECENT form PAKISTAN: L L W W W
RECENT form SRI LANKA: W L L L L

These two Asian counterparts have locked horns 24 times in T20Is. Pakistan has the upper hand with 14 wins, whereas Sri Lanka has won 10 games. Four matches between these two sides have ended without a result. 

Team Analysis: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka

How will the two teams, i.e., Pakistan and Sri Lanka, fare in the third match in Rawalpindi? Let’s take a look.

Pakistan (PAK)

  • Unless there is an untimely injury, Pakistan is expected to remain unchanged for this game.
  • However, Salman Mirza could make way for Naseem Shah, who missed the last game against Zimbabwe.
  • No other changes are expected.

Expected Starting 11

Sahibzada Farhan, Saim Ayub, Babar Azam, Salman Ali Agha (C), Fakhar Zaman, Usman Khan (WK), Faheem Ashraf, Mohammad Nawaz, Shaheen Shah Afridi, Salman Mirza/Naseem Shah, Abrar Ahmed

Sri Lanka (SL)

  • Sri Lanka doesn’t need to press the panic button; instead, they need to push the reset button and forget what happened against Zimbabwe.
  • The batters need to step up and perform cohesively.
  • One change in the batting unit that the team management could consider is bringing in Kamil Mishara for Bhanuka Rajapaksa.

Expected Starting 11

Pathum Nissanka, Kusal Mendis (WK), Kusal Perera, Bhanuka Rajapaksa/Kamil Mishara, Kamindu Mendis, Dasun Shanaka (C), Wanindu Hasaranga, Dushmantha Chameera, Maheesh Theekshana, Nuwan Thushara, Eshan Malinga

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the 3rd match of the Pakistan tri-series 2025 between Zimbabwe and Pakistan at the Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium in Rawalpindi:

 

Pitch ReportWeather Report
The Rawalpindi surface has been on the slower side, with plenty of cricket played recently.Conditions are expected to be clear and dry, with no chance of rain during the match.
Batting is not easy early on; the ball tends to grip, making stroke play difficult.Temperatures will range between 9°C (minimum) and 24°C (maximum), offering cool evening conditions.
Spinners and slower bowlers have found assistance, especially in the middle overs.Humidity levels will be moderate, which could assist swing bowlers under lights.
Teams winning the toss have preferred to bowl first, exploiting early movement and dew later.Visibility and playing conditions are expected to remain stable, ensuring a full game without interruptions.
A par score is likely around 160–170, with chasing teams having an advantage due to dew.Overall, pleasant weather is forecast, ideal for cricket under lights in Rawalpindi.

Toss Prediction

Winning the toss at Rawalpindi will be decisive. The captain should opt to bowl first, exploiting early seam movement and keeping dew in mind. With the pitch slowing later, chasing becomes easier. Expect the toss winner to back their bowlers early and rely on batters under lights.

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The online live streaming of the 3rd match of the T20 Tri-Series in Pakistan will take place live on the FanCode app. The live TV coverage for this series won’t be available in India.

PAK vs SL: Today’s Match Predictions

Sri Lanka’s current form in the shortest format of the game has been lackluster. They have lost their last four matches on the trot, and a loss to Zimbabwe in their previous fixture has done no good to their confidence. Pakistan, on the other hand, have played some really good cricket in familiar conditions and is looking good enough for yet another win. Expect them to come good in this match. Therefore, as per our prediction, the host, Pakistan, is expected to win the PAK vs SL 3rd match of the tri-nation series.

Pakistan Logo
Odds » 1.55
VS.
Sri Lanka Logo
Odds » 2.45