Match 17
ICC T20 World Cup 2026
February 12, 2026, 3:00 pm
Nepal Logo
Nepal
Odds » 1.32
VS.
Italy Logo
Italy
Odds » 3.40
Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai

NEP vs ITA Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: ICC T20 World Cup 2026, Match 17, February 12

Published on: Feb 11, 2026 3:00 pm IST | Updated on: Feb 11, 2026 11:55 am IST

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Next up is match no 17 in the ICC T20 World Cup 2026. Group C teams, Nepal and Italy, will be in action at the Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai. Both teams are heading into this contest after succumbing to a loss in their respective opening games. Nepal almost snatched a victory from England’s jaws, falling short by just 4 runs. Italy, meanwhile, was thrashed by Scotland in their opening game by 73 runs. Expect a good game between two associate nations, with Nepal starting as the favorites. In this post, we have compiled free expert tips for the 17th match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 at the Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai.

Win Probability: NEP vs ITA

The Nepalese should enter this contest as the outright favorites. They were fearless in the game against England and almost did the unthinkable of taming the two-time champions. Italy, on the other hand, succumbed to a heavy defeat at the hands of fellow associates Scotland by 73 runs, a huge loss that must have shattered their confidence. Therefore, expect the win probability meter to favor Nepal. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the 17th match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 at the Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai.

ITA: 2% win chance
NEP: 98% win chance

  • Italy has lost four of its last five T20Is.
  • The team isn’t in the right state of mind after a loss to Scotland by 73 runs and an injury to their spirited skipper, Wayne Madsen.
  • Despite a loss in the last game, Nepal has managed to win 4 of their last 5 T20Is.
  • Both teams will be squaring off for the first time across formats.

Cricket Betting Tips for NEP vs ITA- Match 17

Dipendra Singh Airee to score Over 21.5

The experienced right-hander has been in good form in recent times for Nepal. Airee, along with his batting prowess, is an asset with the ball as well courtesy of his off spin. A good player to have among your bets.

Kushalm Bhurtel to score Over 21.5

Nepal's stylish opener hit 3 crisp fours in a row off Archer in the last game. He provided a quick start to his side with a 17 balls 29 and something similar will be expected from him in this game as well. Talking about his recent numbers, Bhurtel has scored 283 runs in his last 10 innings.

Anthony Mosca to score Over 16.5

The highly experienced Anthony Mosca is a run machine for Italy. The right-hand opener has scored 206 runs in his last 10 T20I outings at a strike rate of 130.37.

JJ Smuts to score Over 19.5

The former South African right-hander is a key figure in the middle order for Italy. He scored a quick-fire 22 off 11 deliveries in the game against Scotland and will be a key figure in this game as well.

NEP vs ITA Today’s Match Prediction

Check out our prediction for the NEP vs ITA 17th Match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 at the Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai.

Nepalese eyeing their first win of this edition of the T20 World Cup

Match 17 of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 sees Nepal take on Italy at the Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai, with both sides desperate to register their first win of the tournament. Nepal came agonizingly close to a historic upset in their opener against England, falling short by just four runs after Lokesh Bam’s valiant effort in the final over. That performance, however, showcased Nepal’s fighting spirit and hinted that they could be a dangerous side against fellow associate nations.

Italy, meanwhile, endured a tough start, suffering a heavy 73‑run defeat at the hands of Scotland. Their batting failed to fire, and their bowling lacked penetration, leaving them with plenty to address ahead of this clash. Against Nepal, they will need a much‑improved showing to stay competitive.

With both teams under pressure, this contest promises intensity, but Nepal will start as favorites given their spirited display against a top side. A win here would not only boost their confidence but also keep their campaign alive in Group C. Expect Nepal to come hard, eyeing their first victory of this edition and a chance to climb the standings.

Can Italy bounce back after a heavy defeat at the hands of Scotland?

Italy head into Match 17 of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 under immense pressure, desperate to bounce back after a heavy defeat to Scotland. Their 73‑run loss exposed both batting frailties and bowling inconsistencies, leaving the team short on confidence. To make matters worse, skipper Wayne Madsen dislocated his shoulder during a fielding effort in the last game, further denting morale in a side that has already lost four of its last five T20Is.

The challenge now is to regroup quickly against Nepal, another associate nation hungry for points. Italy’s batters must find rhythm early, as slow starts have repeatedly cost them momentum. Their bowlers, too, need discipline to avoid leaking runs on batting‑friendly surfaces like Wankhede. Without their spirited leader, the responsibility falls on senior players to inspire and steady the team.

While recent form suggests Italy are struggling, tournaments often produce unexpected turnarounds. A win here would not only revive their campaign but also restore belief in a side that has looked mentally drained. The question remains: can Italy shake off the scars of their opening defeat and rediscover the fight needed to stay alive in Group C? Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

NEP vs ITA Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 0
ITA won: 0
NEP won: 0
No Result: 0
Tied: 0
RECENT form ITALY: L L L W L
RECENT form NEPAL: W W W W L

Italy and Nepal haven’t had a meeting in the past in any format of the game. This will be their first-ever meeting. 

Team Analysis: Italy and Nepal

How will the two teams, i.e., Italy and Nepal, fare in the 17th Match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026? Let’s take a look.

Nepal (NEP)

  • Nepal used 4 spinners in the last game and should replace one of them with a seamer on Wankhede’s surface.
  • One of the big names in the squad, Sompal Kami, missed the last game.
  • He should return to the eleven for Sher Malla, as the Wankhede surface will be assisting the seamers more.

Expected Starting 11

Aasif Sheikh (WK), Kushal Bhurtel, Rohit Kumar Paudel (C), Dipendra Singh Airee, Aarif Sheikh, Lokesh Bam, Gulshan Jha, Nandan Yadav, Karan KC, Sher Malla/Sompal Kami, Sandeep Lamichhane

Italy (ITA)

  • Italy’s biggest concern is the injury to their skipper, Wayne Madsen.
  • Madsen dislocated his shoulder in the last game against Scotland while fielding. He is expected to miss this game.
  • JJ Smuts might take the captaincy armband from Madsen, and Marcus Campopiano is expected to fill in the void in the eleven.
  • The rest of the eleven is expected to remain the same.

Expected Starting 11

Justin Mosca, Anthony Mosca, JJ Smuts (C), Harry Manenti, Ben Manenti, Marcus Campopiano, Gian Meade (wk), Grant Stewart, Crishan Kalugamage, Ali Hasan, Thomas Draca

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the 17th Match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 between Italy and Nepal at the Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai:

Pitch ReportWeather Report
Wankhede is known for its batting‑friendly surface with true bounce and pace.Afternoon temperature expected around 30–31°C, hot and humid.
Short boundaries and lightning‑fast outfield make stroke play rewarding.Clear skies with minimal cloud cover, no rain forecast.
Pacers may find some movement early, especially with the new ball.Humidity levels near 65–70%, adding to player fatigue.
Spinners usually get limited assistance, but variations can be effective.Gentle sea breeze may aid swing slightly in the later stages.
A par score is projected in the 185–195 range, with chasing teams having a fair chance.Overall conditions favor a high‑scoring contest under afternoon heat.

Toss Prediction

On a batting‑friendly Wankhede track, the team winning the toss is likely to bat first. With short boundaries and a quick outfield, setting a target near 190 could be decisive. Afternoon heat adds chasing pressure, making scoreboard advantage the safer option in this high‑scoring contest. Therefore, expect the skipper winning the toss to bat first. 

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The online live streaming of the 17th Match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 will take place live on the JioHotstar app. The live TV coverage for this World Cup will take place on Star Sports Network channels.

NEP vs ITA: Today’s Match Predictions

After the performance they put up against the 2-time champions, England, the Nepal team is brimming with confidence. They should start as the favorites against Italy and get their first points of this World Cup. A lot of sportsbooks are favoring Nepal, and so are we. Expect Nepal to register their first win of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026. Therefore, as per our prediction, Nepal is expected to win the NEP vs ITA, the 17th match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026.

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Nepal Logo
Odds » 1.32
VS.
Italy Logo
Odds » 3.40