BAN vs NZ Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: New Zealand Tour of Bangladesh 2026, 1st ODI, April 17

Bangladesh is set to host New Zealand in a 6-game white-ball series, which includes 3 ODIs followed by 3 T20Is. First up are the ODIs, with the first game of the series set to be played on April 17 at the nation’s capital in Dhaka. The iconic Shere Bangla National Stadium will play host to this fixture. Playing at home, Bangladesh is always a tough side to beat. They recently hosted Pakistan in a 3-match series and got the better of them by 2-1. Meanwhile, New Zealand is heading into this series on the back of a historic series win in India by 2-1; however, it is a completely different-looking New Zealand squad for this series compared to the one we witnessed in India. In this post, we have come up with free expert tips for the 1st ODI Match, BAN vs NZ at the Shere Bangla National Stadium, Dhaka.

Win Probability: BAN vs NZ

A total of 54 New Zealand players are currently playing cricket in Asia, in leagues like the IPL and PSL, or for the New Zealand A side, which is currently on tour to Sri Lanka. Therefore, this New Zealand squad isn’t the first choice, and Bangladesh is wary of this fact. At home, Bangladesh is almost invincible, particularly in ODIs, and it would be an uphill task for this New Zealand outfit to get past Bangladesh on this entire tour. Therefore, expect the win probability meter to favor the hosts. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the 1st ODI Match, BAN vs NZ at the Shere Bangla National Stadium, Dhaka.

BAN: 62% win chance
NZ: 38% win chance

New Zealand has been in terrific form of late in ODIs, as they have won four of their last five ODI fixtures.
Bangladesh has won three of their last five ODIs, and their most recent ODI series win came against Pakistan at home.
New Zealand has dominated Bangladesh in recent times, having won 4 of the last 5 meetings between the two sides.

Cricket Betting Tips for BAN vs NZ- 1st ODI

Tanzid Hasan Tamim to score Over 22.5

Tanzid Hasan was the leading run-getter for Bangladesh in the home series against Pakistan. The left-hander should continue from where he left in the series against Pakistan.

Place Bet @ Odds 1.85 »

Tom Latham to score Over 22.5

NZ skipper and perhaps their most experienced batter in the current squad, Tom will play a crucial role in the middle-order batting at no 4 or 5.

Place Bet @ Odds 1.85 »

Towhid Hridoy to score Over 23.5

The middle-order right-hand batter of Bangladesh has amassed 305 runs in his last 10 outings at an average of 38.13. He has been among runs for the hosts.

Place Bet @ Odds 1.85 »

Henry Nicholls to score Over 26.5

In the absence of key players, Henry Nicholls is slated to open the innings for NZ. The left-hander has scored 103 runs in his last 4 outings and will be playing a crucial role in this series.

Place Bet @ Odds 1.85 »

BAN vs NZ Today’s Match Prediction

Check out our prediction for the BAN vs NZ 1st ODI match at the Shere Bangla National Stadium, Dhaka.

Bangladesh should start as the favorites

Bangladesh will enter the upcoming three-match ODI series against New Zealand as clear favorites. The Tigers have built a formidable reputation at home, especially at the Shere Bangla National Stadium in Dhaka, where conditions often suit their spinners and seamers alike. Their recent 2-1 triumph over Pakistan showcased both resilience and depth, proving they can handle pressure against top-tier opposition.

The squad named for this series is unchanged from the one that defeated Pakistan, which ensures continuity and confidence. Mehidy Hasan Miraz’s leadership, combined with the batting strength of Litton Das, Najmul Hossain Shanto, and Towhid Hridoy, gives Bangladesh a balanced top order. In the bowling department, Mustafizur Rahman, Taskin Ahmed, and Shoriful Islam provide pace variety, while Tanvir Islam and Rishad Hossain add spin options.

New Zealand, though competitive, often struggles in subcontinental conditions, and Bangladesh’s familiarity with the Dhaka pitch could tilt the contest in their favor. With momentum on their side and a settled lineup, Bangladesh should rightly start as favorites when the series kicks off on April 17.

New Zealand’s inexperienced outfit will have an uphill task in Bangladesh

New Zealand’s ODI squad for the Bangladesh tour looks thin on international experience, and that could make their task in Dhaka extremely challenging. With as many as 54 Kiwi players currently engaged in franchise cricket across Asia or representing New Zealand A in Sri Lanka, the senior team has been forced to field a second-string outfit.

Tom Latham’s leadership will be crucial, but beyond him and Henry Nicholls, the batting lacks proven performers in subcontinental conditions. The likes of Muhammad Abbas, Adi Ashok, and Josh Clarkson are still finding their feet at the international level. Similarly, the bowling unit, comprising Ben Sears, Blair Tickner, and Will O’Rourke, has limited exposure to Asian pitches, which traditionally demand patience and adaptability.

Bangladesh, on the other hand, are fielding the same squad that recently defeated Pakistan 2-1 at home, making them formidable opponents. The Shere Bangla National Stadium has historically been a fortress for the Tigers, and New Zealand’s inexperienced lineup will need to adapt quickly to spin-friendly conditions. With the odds stacked against them, the visitors face an uphill battle to compete in this three-match series starting April 17. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

BAN vs NZ Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 46
NZ won: 34
BAN won: 11
No Result: 1
Tied: 0
RECENT form BANGLADESH: L W W L W
RECENT form NEW ZEALAND: W W L W W

A total of 46 ODIs have been played between Bangladesh and New Zealand in ODI cricket. New Zealand has dominated this battle with ease, having won 34 games and lost only 11. One game between the two sides ended without a result.

Team Analysis: Bangladesh and New Zealand

How will the two teams, i.e., Bangladesh and New Zealand, fare in the first ODI? Let’s take a look.

Bangladesh (BAN)

Bangladesh has named an unchanged 15-man squad that featured in the home ODI series against Pakistan last month.
Five members of the Bangladesh ODI squad were playing in PSL 2026: Nahid, Mustafizur, Shoriful, Rishad Hossain, and Tanzid Hasan.
All 5 have joined the squad on April 12 and are available for selection and won’t return to the PSL. Only senior pacer Mustafizur Rahman is expected to return for PSL after the ODI series.
Saif Hassan had a lackluster show against Pakistan. He could be a doubtful starter for this fixture.
If Hassan sits out, senior batter Soumya Sarkar could be given the opening slot.

Expected Starting 11

Tanzid Hasan Tamim, Saif Hassan, Najmul Hossain Shanto, Litton Das (WK), Towhid Hridoy, Afif Hossain, Mehidy Hasan Miraz (C), Taskin Ahmed, Mustafizur Rahman, Rishad Hossain, Nahid Rana

New Zealand (NZ)

The Blackcaps have also announced a 15-man squad for this series.
They are expected to make at least 8 changes to their eleven from the last ODI they played against India back in January.
Players playing in the IPL and PSL haven’t been named for this tour.
Left-arm quick Ben Lister has been called into both white-ball squads after all-rounder Kristian Clarke was ruled out through injury.
Pacer Ben Sears will miss the ODI leg of the Bangladesh tour, having been signed as an overseas replacement by Rawalpindiz in the PSL.
Pace duo of Blair Tickner and Will O’Rourke have returned from injuries.

Expected Starting 11

Henry Nicholls, Will Young, Nick Kelly, Dean Foxcroft, Tom Latham (C/WK), Muhammad Abbas, Josh Clarkson, Nathan Smith, Blair Tickner, Will O’Rourke, Adithya Ashok

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the 1st ODI between Bangladesh and New Zealand at the Shere Bangla National Stadium, Dhaka:

Pitch Report (Shere Bangla National Stadium, Dhaka)	Weather Report (Dhaka, April 17, 2026)
The surface is traditionally slow and spin-friendly, offering turn right from the start.	Afternoon temperatures are expected to hover around 33–35°C, making conditions physically demanding.
Bounce remains low and uneven, which forces batters to adjust their shot selection carefully.	Humidity levels will be high, close to 70–75%, which could sap energy and test stamina.
Batting tends to get tougher as the innings progresses, with the ball gripping more on the surface.	Forecasts suggest clear skies with no major rain threat, ensuring a full 50-over contest.
Spinners are likely to dominate, while pacers who rely on cutters and slower variations can also succeed.	A light breeze is expected, but it will have little impact on play or swing movement.
A score in the range of 230–250 runs is usually competitive, given the difficulty of chasing here.	Evening dew could slightly favor batting in the second innings, though spin will remain influential.
Teams batting first often enjoy an edge, as chasing under lights becomes tricky with turn and grip.	The combination of heat, humidity, and dew will add another tactical layer to the contest.

Toss Prediction

For the toss in the 1st ODI at Dhaka, Bangladesh will prefer batting first to exploit spin-friendly conditions and scoreboard pressure. New Zealand, with an inexperienced squad, may opt to chase, hoping dew aids batting later. The toss outcome could significantly shape the balance of this contest.

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The online live streaming of the 1st ODI match of the New Zealand tour of Bangladesh will take place live on the FANCODE app. The live TV coverage for this series won’t be available in India.

BAN vs NZ: Today’s Match Predictions

Bangladesh at home has always been a formidable side, particularly when it comes to ODI cricket. They are hosting an inexperienced New Zealand outfit that has only a handful of capped players in ODI cricket. Therefore, Bangladesh should back themselves to tame New Zealand, for whom playing a perfect combination would be key in this game and going forward in the series. Therefore, as per our prediction, the hosts, Bangladesh, are expected to win the BAN vs NZ 1st ODI match.

For more Cricket Betting Tips like this, Click Here