Match 3rd Test
New Zealand Tour of England 2026
June 25, 2026, 3:30 pm
England Logo
England
Odds » 1.85
VS.
New Zealand  Logo
New Zealand
Odds » 2.45
Draw » 7.75
Trent Bridge, Nottingham

ENG vs NZ Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: New Zealand Tour of England 2026, 3rd Test, June 25

Published on: Jun 24, 2026 3:21 pm IST | Updated on: Jun 24, 2026 10:53 am IST

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We are into the decider of the England vs New Zealand Test series. The hosts, England, won the first Test in under 4 days by 115 runs. The visitors, New Zealand, then returned the favor by thrashing the hosts by 253 runs. With the series nicely poised at 1-1, an emphatic 3rd Test awaits at Trent Bridge in Nottingham on June 25. In this post, we have come up with free expert tips for the 3rd Test match, ENG vs NZ, at Trent Bridge, Nottingham.

Win Probability: ENG vs NZ

With the series poised at 1-1, it’s always tough to choose a winner between the two sides. New Zealand got the better of an incomplete English line-up that didn’t feature the likes of Jamie Smith, Gus Atkinson, Ben Stokes, and the player of the match of the first test, Ollie Robinson. With three of the four missing players back for this Test match, the Englishman will have the upper hand heading into this game. Therefore, the win probability meter should lean in favor of the hosts. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the 3rd Test match, ENG vs NZ, at Trent Bridge, Nottingham.

ENG: 62% win chance
NZ: 38% win chance

  • A win in the last Test was the Blackcaps’ fourth win in their last 5 Test matches.
  • England has now lost three of their last five Test matches and registered only two wins.
  • In the last five meetings between these two sides, New Zealand has managed to win two games, whereas England has registered three wins.

Cricket Betting Tips for ENG vs NZ- 3rd Test

Joe Root to score Over 35.5 in 1st Innings

England's stand-in skipper in the last game was the lone warrior with the bat across the two innings. He scored 46 in the first and 77 in the second innings to emerge as the best batter in the game for England. Once again the onus would be on him to score runs.

Harry Brook to score Over 31.5 in 1st Innings

Across the 4 innings in this Test series, Harry has scored 138 runs at an average of 34.50, which is the most for any English batter in this series. Expect him to be amongst the runs yet again.

Glenn Phillips to score Over 22.5 in 1st Innings

Known for his fielding acrobatics, Phillips has surprisingly emerged as the leading run-getter in this series with 181 runs from 4 innings at a scintillating average of 60. Fresh off a ton in the last game, expect Phillips to score freely in this game as well.

Daryl Mitchell to score Over 24.5 in 1st Innings

Mitchell is one of those few players in New Zealand side who is known for his consistency across formats. Although he hasn't been among runs in this series so far, we expect the right-hander to return to his best in the final Test.

ENG vs NZ Today’s Match Prediction

Check out our prediction for the ENG vs NZ 3rd Test match at Trent Bridge in Nottingham.

England should back themselves after the return of key players

England head into the decisive third Test against New Zealand at Trent Bridge with renewed confidence, thanks to the return of several key players. The hosts have endured a mixed run of form, losing three of their last five Tests while winning two, and will be eager to tilt the balance in their favor.

The series has been evenly poised so far. England clinched the opening Test in under four days with a commanding 115‑run victory, only for New Zealand to bounce back in style, thrashing the hosts by 253 runs in the second match. That defeat came against an incomplete English lineup missing the likes of Jamie Smith, Gus Atkinson, Ben Stokes, and Ollie Robinson, the player of the match in the first Test.

With three of those four names back in contention, England will feel they have the upper hand heading into this decider. Robinson, despite regaining fitness, has not been included in the XI, but the return of Stokes, Smith, and Atkinson adds depth and balance. The hosts will back themselves to deliver a strong performance and reclaim control of the series with their strengthened squad.

New Zealand should carry the confidence from the last game

New Zealand enter the third Test against England riding high on momentum after their emphatic victory in the second match. That win marked their fourth triumph in the last five Tests, underlining the Blackcaps’ consistency and resilience in the longest format.

The batting unit looks well settled, with Glenn Phillips, Devon Conway, Henry Nicholls, and Daryl Mitchell expected to play pivotal roles. Each of them has shown the ability to adapt to English conditions, and their contributions will be crucial in setting up competitive totals. Phillips’ aggressive stroke play, Conway’s stability at the top, and the middle‑order strength of Nicholls and Mitchell provide New Zealand with a balanced lineup capable of handling pressure.

On the bowling front, Matt Henry will spearhead the attack after his sensational performance in the last Test, where he claimed 11 wickets. His ability to exploit swing and seam movement makes him the biggest threat to England’s batting order. Supported by a disciplined pace unit, Henry’s form could tilt the contest in New Zealand’s favor. With confidence soaring and key players in rhythm, the Blackcaps will look to replicate their dominance and seal the series. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

ENG vs NZ Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 117
NZ won: 15
ENG won: 55
Draw: 47
Tied: 0
RECENT form ENGLAND: L W L W L
RECENT form NEW ZEALAND: W W W L W

A win in the last game was New Zealand’s 15th win over the English side in Test cricket. In 117 meetings between these two sides, England leads the battle handsomely by winning 55, whereas 47 games ended in a draw. 

Team Analysis: England and New Zealand

How will the two teams, i.e., England and New Zealand, fare in the 2nd Test? Let’s take a look.

New Zealand (NZ)

  • As of now, the Blackcaps don’t have any injury concerns in the camp.
  • On precautionary measures, resting Kyle Jamieson could be an option for the Blackcaps.
  • The tall pacer could get replaced by Blair Tickner.
  • No other changes are expected.

Expected Starting 11

Devon Conway, Tom Latham (C), Henry Nicholls, Rachin Ravindra, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Blundell (WK), Glenn Phillips, Matt Henry, Kyle Jamieson/Blair Tickner, Nathan Smith, Will O’Rourke

England (ENG)

  • The English team has named four changes to the eleven that lost the second Test at the Oval.
  • Both Ben Stokes and Gus Atkinson have returned following the incident at a Chelsea nightclub a fortnight ago.
  • Stokes will be back leading the side.
  • Solitary spinner Shoaib Bashir also returns, along with wicket-keeper batter Jamie Smith, who was on paternity leave during the Oval Test.
  • James Rew, Jordan Cox, Sonny Baker, and Matthew Fisher are the ones making way for the ones returning.
  • Ollie Robinson, despite being deemed fit, hasn’t been named in the eleven.

Expected Starting 11

Ben Duckett, Emilio Gay, Jacob Bethell, Joe Root, Harry Brook, Jamie Smith (WK), Ben Stokes (C), Jofra Archer, Gus Atkinson, Josh Tongue, Shoaib Bashir

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the 3rd Test between New Zealand and England at Trent Bridge, Nottingham.

Pitch ReportWeather Report
Trent Bridge is traditionally a batting-friendly venue, with both sides often posting 400+ totals in past Tests.Conditions will be hot and sunny, with temperatures around 30–31°C at the start of play.
The surface offers good bounce and carry, rewarding stroke play once batters settle.Humidity levels near 55–60% could aid swing bowling in the morning session.
Seamers usually dominate here, accounting for nearly 80% of wickets in recent Tests.Rain probability is very low (0–5%), ensuring uninterrupted play.
Spinners come into play later, especially as the pitch wears down on Days 4–5.Winds will be light (10–15 km/h), unlikely to disrupt play.
Average first‑innings score is ~330, making totals above 400 highly competitive.UV index will be high, requiring hydration and sun protection for players.

Toss Prediction

With swing likely in the morning session under humid skies, captains winning the toss should opt to bat first. Trent Bridge historically rewards big first‑innings totals, and batting early avoids the wear and tear of Days 4–5. Bowlers can exploit movement, but runs on the board will matter the most.

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The 3rd Test match of the New Zealand tour of England will stream live on the SonyLIV App. The live TV coverage for this series will be available on Sony Sports Network Channels- Sony Sports 1/2 HD.

ENG vs NZ: Today’s Match Predictions

After losing the first Test, the Blackcaps gave a fantastic reply to the hosts by demolishing them by 253 runs in the second Test at the Oval to level the series. We are up for an exciting decider in Nottingham. With some of the key players back in the English side, including the skipper Ben Stokes, expect the hosts to have the upper hand heading into this fixture. Therefore, as per our prediction, the hosts, England, are expected to win the ENG vs NZ 3rd Test match.

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England Logo
Odds » 1.85
VS.
New Zealand  Logo
Odds » 2.45