Match 5
2026 Asian Games
September 26, 2026, 5:30 am
Japan Logo
Japan
Odds » 7.5
VS.
Nepal Logo
Nepal
Odds » 1.08
Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin

JPN vs NEP Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: Asian Games 2026, Match 5, September 26

Published on: Sep 25, 2026 3:25 pm IST | Updated on: Sep 25, 2026 3:51 pm IST

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The hosts, Japan, will be in action on the final day of the group fixtures of the Asian Games 2026. They will be taking on the undefeated Nepali team, who head into this contest on the back of a win over Afghanistan by 5 wickets. It’s a must-win game for Japan to keep their slim hope alive for the quarterfinals. Not only a win, but Japan will need to defeat Nepal by a gigantic margin to finish among the top two in Group A. Can they do so? Well, we will find out tomorrow in Nisshin. In this post, we have come up with free expert tips for the 5th match of the 2026 Asian Games, JPN vs NEP at the Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin.

Win Probability: JPN vs NEP

Japan and Nepal have collided only once in the international arena, and it was Nepal who reigned supreme by 5 wickets. The way they defeated Afghanistan in their Asian Games 2026 opener, Nepal should feel confident enough to thrash Japan and kick them out of the quarterfinals race. Therefore, expect the win probability meter to lean in favor of the Nepali team. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the 5th match of the 2026 Asian Games, JPN vs NEP at the Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin.

NEP: 100% win chance
JPN: 0% win chance

  • Nepal have won their last six T20Is on the trot.
  • Japan have won one out of their last four completed T20Is.
  • These two collided only once in 2025, a game where Nepal registered a comfortable 5-wicket win while chasing a total of 131.

Cricket Betting Tips for JPN vs NEP- Match 5

Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming to score Over 12.5

Kendel scored 60 in the only Japan-Nepal meeting in the format last year. The Japanese skipper remains a top bet for the team in the batting order.

Ibrahim Takahashi to score Over 10

Ibrahim is one of the premier all-rounders in the side. He can hit some lusty blows down the order and also bowls off spin to a good effect. Expect Ibrahim to have a good game in either of the two facets in this game.

Kushal Bhurtel to score Over 17.5

Despite scoring a duck in the last game, Kushal remains Nepal's main batter. Having scored more than 500 runs in his last 10 T20I outings, Kushal remains Nepal's batting mainstay.

Sundeep Jora to score Over 13.5

Sundeep was unfortunate to get run out in the last game. However he scored a much-needed 34 before getting dismissed and once again, he will be a key batter in the middle order.

JPN vs NEP Today’s Match Prediction

Check out our prediction for the JPN vs NEP Match 5 at Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin.

Japan needs to win and win big to stand a chance of making it to the quarterfinal

Japan’s campaign at the 2026 Asian Games has reached a critical juncture, with their hopes of reaching the quarterfinals hanging by a thread. Having suffered a 48‑run defeat to Afghanistan in their opening clash, their Net Run Rate (NRR) has plummeted to –2.4, leaving them in a precarious position.

For Kendel Kadowaki‑Fleming and his men, the equation is simple yet daunting: they must not only defeat Nepal, but do so by a massive margin to climb into the top two of Group A. Anything less will see their campaign end prematurely. The batting unit, led by Kadowaki‑Fleming, needs to fire collectively, while the likes of Lachlan Yamamoto‑Lake, Reo Sakurano‑Thomas, Charlie Hara‑Hinze, and Ibrahim Takahashi must step up with impactful performances.

Japan’s bowlers will also have to deliver with precision, restricting Nepal’s scoring opportunities and creating the kind of dominance required to swing the NRR in their favor. It is a tall order, but in tournament cricket, momentum can shift quickly. For Japan, this is a do‑or‑die battle, and only a big win will keep their quarterfinal dream alive.

Nepal just needs to carry on their good work

Nepal enter their second Group A clash at the 2026 Asian Games with momentum firmly on their side after a commanding five‑wicket victory over Afghanistan. That result has propelled them to second place in the group standings, and another win here will ensure they finish right at the top of the table, securing a direct passage into the quarterfinals.

The triumph against Afghanistan showcased Nepal’s growing maturity as a unit, with both bat and ball clicking in unison. Their batting lineup, spearheaded by Kushal Bhurtel, Aasif Sheikh, Rohit Paudel, and skipper Dipendra Singh Airee, remains the backbone of their campaign. The explosive stroke play of Kushal Malla adds firepower, while the all‑round contributions of Sompal Kami and Karan KC provide balance.

In the bowling department, Sandeep Lamichhane’s spin wizardry continues to be Nepal’s trump card, capable of turning matches in their favor. With confidence high and their strategy working well, Nepal’s task is straightforward: maintain consistency, stick to their strengths, and carry forward the winning momentum.

A victory here will not only cement their place at the top but also send a strong message that Nepal are genuine contenders in this competition. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

JPN vs NEP Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 1
NEP won: 1
JPN won: 0
No Result: 0
Tied: 0
RECENT form NEPAL: W W W W W
RECENT form JAPAN: W L AB L L

Team Japan and Nepal have only met once. Their meeting came last year in 2025, which saw Nepal win the game by 5 wickets. 

Team Analysis: Japan vs Nepal

How will the two teams, i.e., Nepal vs Japan, fare in match 5 of the Asian Games 2026? Let’s take a look.

Nepal (NEP)

  • After a convincing win in the opening game for the Nepalese, the team management shouldn’t look for any changes in the eleven.
  • There aren’t any injury concerns in the squad as of now.

Expected Starting 11

Kushal Bhurtel, Aasif Sheikh (WK), Sundeep Jora, Kushal Malla, Rohit Kumar Paudel, Dipendra Singh Airee (C), Gulshan Jha, Lokesh Bam, Karan KC, Sandeep Lamichhane, Lalit Rajbanshi

Japan (JPN)

  • Japan’s batting looked lackluster as they got bundled out for a mere 81 while chasing 130.
  • The batters need to step up to pose a threat to the Nepalese. Meanwhile, the bowlers, particularly the spinners, have been on the money.
  • Tsuyishi Takada and Kohei Kubota are the two batters available in the squad, and either of them could get a game.
  • Wataru Miyauchi, who scored 9 off 14 in the last game, could make way for either of the two mentioned above.

Expected Starting 11:

Lachlan Yamamoto-Lake, Reo Sakurano-Thomas, Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming (C), Benjamin Ito-Davis, Wataru Miyauchi/Tsuyishi Takada, Ibrahim Takahashi, Alexander Shirai-Patmore (wk), Charlie Hara-Hinze, Declan Suzuki-McComb, Makoto Taniyama, Shoma Sugaya-Slater

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the 5th match between Japan and Nepal of the Asian Games 2026 at the Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin.

Pitch ReportWeather Report
Morning start means seamers will enjoy swing and movement due to moisture.Temperature around 23–24°C, mild and comfortable.
Batting improves once the ball softens, rewarding patient stroke play.Skies partly cloudy with good visibility throughout.
Spinners may find grip in the middle overs as the surface dries.Humidity near 65%, aiding swing in the first hour.
Average first‑innings T20 score is 150–160, making totals in that range competitive.Rain chances remain low (~15%), so a full game is expected.
Toss plays a role—teams chasing have historically enjoyed success here.Winds at 8–10 km/h, light breeze across the ground.
Stroke makers can dominate once set, but bowlers with variations remain effective.Overall conditions favorable for uninterrupted play.

Toss Prediction

With a 9 AM start, seamers are likely to benefit from early swing due to moisture and humidity. Captains may prefer bowling first to exploit the new ball. However, chasing has historically been successful at this venue, making the toss outcome pivotal in shaping Japan’s survival hopes and Nepal’s push for group supremacy.

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The online live streaming of the 5th match between Japan and Nepal will take place live on the Sony LIV App. TV streaming for this match will be available on Sony Sports Channels.

JPN vs NEP: Today’s Match Predictions

Nepal starts as the outright favorite in this game. A win here will seal their spot at the pole position in this group. Japan, on the other hand, have an impossible task at hand. They don’t only need a win but need to win big to secure a spot in the quarterfinals, which, as of now, looks quite uncertain. Therefore, as per our prediction, the visitors, Nepal, are expected to win the JPN vs NEP 5th match of the Asian Games 2026 at the Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin.

 

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Japan Logo
Odds » 7.5
VS.
Nepal Logo
Odds » 1.08