Match 3rd Test
Australia Tour of South Africa 2026
October 27, 2026, 1:30 pm
South Africa Logo
South Africa
Odds » 1.99
VS.
Australia Logo
Australia
Odds » 2.16
Draw » 7.20
Newlands, Cape Town

SA vs AUS Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: Australia Tour of South Africa 2026, 3rd Test, October 27

Published on: Oct 26, 2026 1:13 pm IST | Updated on: Oct 26, 2026 1:16 pm IST

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You don’t mess with Temba Bavuma; that was the message sent by the Proteas skipper to the Aussie skipper, Pat Cummins, whose team got pummelled in the second Test of the series at St George’s Park in Gqeberha by an innings and 31 runs. With a majority of time lost due to persistent rain in the first two days of the Test match, the hosts effectively humiliated the arrogant Aussies in three days to avenge their loss in the opening Test by 214 runs. With the series nicely poised at 1-1, it’s time for the decider to take center stage, set to take place at one of the country’s capitals, i.e., in Cape Town. In this post, we have compiled free expert tips for the 3rd Test, SA vs AUS, at Newlands, Cape Town.

Win Probability: SA vs AUS

South Africa rose from the ashes with a dominant win by an innings and 31 runs. After suffering a heavy defeat in the opening Test match, the way Temba Bavuma led the way with the bat in the first innings and then led his troops in the bowling innings was nothing short of majestic. With confidence soaring after the last win, the hosts will once again start as the favorites, with Australia having nowhere to hide their discrepancies. Expect the win probability meter to lean in favor of the hosts. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the 3rd Test, SA vs AUS, at Newlands, Cape Town.

SA: 62% win chance
AUS: 38% win chance

  • South Africa have now won four of their last five Tests, which includes a loss as well.
  • Australia have won three of their last five Test matches, including two losses.
  • In the last five Test matches played between the two sides, both teams have won two games each, whereas one fixture ended as a draw.
  • Since 2002, the two teams have met in six Test matches at Newlands, with each side winning three games apiece.

Cricket Betting Tips for SA vs AUS- 3rd Test

Temba Bavuma to score Over 27.5 in 1st Innings

Temba is fresh off an inspirational career-best 179 in the last game at Gqeberha. The Proteas skipper will be looking to ontinue his rich vein of form in this match.

Aiden Markram to score Over 24.5

The Proteas vice-captain will be opening the innings. He has scored 133 runs across three innings in this series, with 75 being his best. Expect the right-hander to have a lasting impact in this match.

Matt Renshaw to score Over 26.5

Matt has been the leading run-getter in the series so far with 190 being his best score. Averaging 74, the left-hander will be looking to add more runs to his tally in Newlands.

Travis Head to score Over 30.5 in 1st Innings

Fresh off a ton in the last game, Travis will be assigned to score at the top and provide Australia with some sort of stability at the top and score runs.

SA vs AUS Today’s Match Prediction

Check out our prediction for the SA vs AUS 3rd Test match at Newlands, Cape Town.

South Africa brimming with confidence after tormenting Australia in Gqeberha 

South Africa delivered a statement win at St George’s Park, Gqeberha, dismantling Australia by an innings and 31 runs in the second Test of the series. Persistent rain robbed the contest of nearly two full days, yet the Proteas needed only three days of play to humiliate their opponents and avenge the heavy 214‑run defeat suffered in the opening Test.

Skipper Temba Bavuma set the tone with his authoritative batting, scoring 179 in the first innings, and complemented it with astute leadership, sending a clear message to counterpart Pat Cummins that the Proteas would not be bullied. The hosts combined disciplined bowling with aggressive batting to expose Australia’s vulnerabilities, turning the match into a one‑sided affair. The innings victory was not just about leveling the series; it was about reclaiming pride and momentum emphatically.

With confidence soaring, South Africa now heads into the next clash with the belief that they can dictate terms. For Australia, the defeat was a sobering reminder that arrogance alone cannot withstand the firepower of a determined Proteas outfit.

Forget Pat Cummins the skipper; Pat the bowler has been awful and under immense pressure

Australia’s woes in the ongoing Test series have been compounded by the poor form of their captain, Pat Cummins. Across two matches, Cummins has managed to scalp only four wickets, a return far below expectations for a frontline pacer. His leadership, already under scrutiny, has looked uninspired, and his bowling has been nothing short of ineffective.

The situation is reminiscent of Marnus Labuschagne’s struggles, with the batter failing to score a century in international cricket for over three years. Australia’s batting unit has been equally disappointing; apart from centuries by Matt Renshaw and Travis Head in separate games, the rest of the lineup has failed to step up. The top order has crumbled, while the middle order has been outright miserable.

With the ball, Cummins’ lack of penetration has raised serious questions about his place in the XI. Particularly damning is the performance of Scott Boland, who picked up a five‑wicket haul in the last game, further highlighting Cummins’ decline. For Australia, the pressure is mounting, and their skipper’s form remains a glaring concern. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

SA vs AUS Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 104
AUS won: 55
SA won: 28
Draw: 21
RECENT form AUSTRALIA: W L W W L
RECENT form SOUTH AFRICA: W W W L W

A win in the last Test match was South Africa’s 28th win over the Aussies in the format. In 104 Test matches played between the two sides, Australia still leads the way with 55 wins, whereas 21 matches have ended in a draw. 

Team Analysis: South Africa and Australia

How will the two teams, i.e., South Africa and Australia, fare in the 3rd Test? Let’s take a look.

South Africa (SA)

  • Anrich Nortje has unfortunately been ruled out of this Test match owing to a groin injury.
  • The tearaway pacer only bowled 3.3 overs in the last game in the first innings before he went back to the pavilion due to injury.
  • South Africa has Dane Paterson, Gerald Coetzee, and Corbin Bosch to choose from to replace Anrich in the eleven for this game.
  • The rest of the eleven is expected to remain unchanged.

Expected Starting 11

Marques Ackerman, Aiden Markram, David Bedingham, Temba Bavuma (C), Matthew Breetzke, Ryan Rickelton (WK), Wiaan Mulder, Marco Jansen, Simon Harmer, Kagiso Rabada, Gerald Coetzee/Dane Paterson

Australia (AUS)

  • Australia’s eleven for the final Test could have a plethora of changes.
  • Beau Webster’s form is a major concern, along with others. The all-rounder could make way for Josh Inglis, who could strengthen Australia’s worrisome batting order.
  • Another way could be kicking out Marnus Labuschagne for Green. Marnus has been their worst batter for 4 years or so and could be in the red zone ahead of this match.
  • The third and final option to fit Green could be bringing him in for Nic Maddison, with Matt Renshaw opening the innings.
  • There’s no robust update on Steven Smith’s finger injury. In case he misses out, Green could come in for him as well.
  • Based on what we have witnessed over the years, Pat Cummins’ inclination towards Labuschagne could mean the batter getting yet another go in the series.
  • The Boland vs Lyon debate seems to have been swept under the carpet with the former’s 5-wicket haul in the last match.
  • If Pat Cummins wasn’t the captain, Boland should have played ahead of Cummins and Lyon as the specialist spinner.
  • If there’s any injury concern with Josh Hazlewood, Nathan Lyon could be brought back.

Expected Starting 11

Travis Head, Matthew Renshaw, Marnus Labuschagne, Steve Smith, Cameron Green, Alex Carey (WK), Beau Webster/Josh Inglis, Pat Cummins (C), Mitchell Starc, Scott Boland, Josh Hazlewood/Nathan Lyon

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the 3rd Test between Australia and South Africa at Newlands, Cape Town:

PITCH REPORTWEATHER REPORT
The Newlands surface is renowned for pace and bounce, offering seamers early assistance.Temperature: Mild, around 18–20°C in the morning.
Batting becomes easier once the shine wears off, rewarding patient stroke‑play.Humidity: Moderate at 55–60%, aiding swing.
Spinners usually come into play from Day 3 onwards, exploiting footmarks.Rain Chance: Low (~10%), mostly sunny intervals.
Outfield is quick, making boundaries frequent with timing.Wind: Light breeze (10–12 km/h), minimal impact.
A first‑innings score of 300–320 is considered par here.Conditions: Pleasant, ideal for uninterrupted cricket.
Toss may favor batting first, as deterioration later assists bowlers.Overall: Perfect setting for a competitive Test match.
DayPitch Behaviour
Day 1Fresh surface with pace and bounce. Seamers get movement off the deck and through the air. Batting requires patience; edges likely in the first session.
Day 2Pitch settles, becoming better for batting. Stroke‑play improves, but bowlers still find assistance with the new ball. Outfield remains quick.
Day 3Spinners begin to come into play, exploiting rough patches. Batting gets trickier as variable bounce creeps in. Partnerships crucial.
Day 4Surface shows wear and tear. Reverse swing aids pacers, while spinners dominate longer spells. Batting becomes a grind; survival over stroke‑play.
Day 5Deteriorated pitch with uneven bounce and turn. Bowlers hold the upper hand; chasing even modest targets becomes difficult. Expect collapses.

Toss Prediction

At Newlands, the toss carries weight. Captains will likely opt to bat first, as the surface offers seam movement early but deteriorates steadily, bringing spinners into play from Day 3. A first‑innings total of 300–320 sets the tone, making the toss a pivotal factor in shaping this decisive Test.

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The online live streaming of the 3rd Test match of the Australia Tour of South Africa 2026 will take place live on the FANCODE app. The live TV coverage for this series will be available on the Eurosport channel.

SA vs AUS: Today’s Match Predictions

South Africa should enter this contest as the favorite. They are fresh off a massive win in the last Test match and will be looking to seal the deal in Cape Town. Australia’s struggle in batting has been a major concern, and they will have an uphill task to get the better of the Proteas in South Africa. Therefore, as per our prediction, the hosts, South Africa, are expected to win the SA vs AUS 3rd Test match.

 

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South Africa Logo
Odds » 1.99
VS.
Australia Logo
Odds » 2.16