Match 25
Big Bash League 2025-26 (BBL)
January 6, 2026, 1:45 pm
Adelaide Strikers Logo
Adelaide Strikers
Odds » 1.76
VS.
Sydney Thunder Logo
Sydney Thunder
Odds » 2.08
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

AS vs ST Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: Big Bash League 2025, Match 25, January 6

Published on: Jan 5, 2026 2:59 pm IST | Updated on: Jan 5, 2026 2:59 pm IST

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Up next in BBL 2025-26 is a battle between the Adelaide Strikers and Sydney Thunder at the Adelaide Oval in Adelaide. Thunder are languishing at the bottom of the points table with only a solitary win to their name from 5 games, whereas Strikers placed 5th on the table with 2 wins and as many losses from 4 games. This fixture is quite crucial for Thunder, who are desperate to revive their season campaign. In this post, we have come up with free expert tips for the 25th match of BBL 2025-26, AS vs ST, at the Adelaide Oval, Adelaide.

Win Probability: AS vs ST

The runners-up of the last edition, Sydney Thunder, have massively struggled to get going so far. They have looked out of sorts and failed to get their winning combination. The story has been almost similar to the Adelaide Strikers as well, but at least they have one more win to their name so far in the competition. Playing at home, the Strikers will start as favorites, and we can expect the win probability meter to favor them. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the 25th match of BBL 2025-26, AS vs ST, at the Adelaide Oval, Adelaide.

ST: 56% win chance
AS: 44% win chance

  • Thunder have only a solitary win to their name from 6 games. They are languishing right at the bottom of the points table.
  • Strikers are placed 6th with 2 wins and 3 losses from 5 games.
  • The Strikers have been all over Thunder in their last 5 meetings, having won 4 of the 5 games.

Cricket Betting Tips for AS vs ST- 25th Match

Matthew Short to score Over 29.5

The Adelaide skipper is leading the run charts so far for his side. Opening the innings, Short has scored 184 runs from 5 innings at a decent strike rate of 131.42.

David Warner to score Over 24.5

The legendary left-hander was back opening the innings in the last game against Hobart and scored a swashbuckling unbeaten 130 off 65 deliveries. Warner will be at the forefront for Thunder with the bat yet again.

Chris Lynn to score Over 23.5

With a highest score of unbeaten 79 in this edition, Chris Lynn has 111 runs to his name from 5 matches thus far at a strike rate of 140.50. He has shown glimpses of what he is capable of doing with the bat; the only thing missing is consistency.

Sam Billings to score Over 19.5

The Englishman has scored 122 runs so far in the competition for the Thunder with a strike-rate of 140.22. He remains a vital cog in the middle-order for the visitors.

AS vs ST Today’s Match Prediction

Check out our prediction for the AS vs ST 25th match at the Adelaide Oval in Adelaide.

Sydney Thunder desperate to turn their torrid season around

Sydney Thunder head into their clash against Adelaide Strikers at the Adelaide Oval with plenty to prove. Their campaign in BBL 2025-26 has been nothing short of disappointing, managing just one win from five outings and finding themselves anchored at the bottom of the table. The batting unit has struggled for consistency, while the bowlers have failed to deliver breakthroughs at crucial junctures, leaving the side desperate for a turnaround.

This fixture against the Strikers, who sit mid-table with two wins from four matches, offers Thunder a chance to reset their season. Adelaide Oval’s batting-friendly conditions could provide the perfect stage for their top order to finally fire, while early seam movement may give their pace attack an opportunity to strike. With the tournament reaching its halfway mark, every game now carries added weight, and Thunder cannot afford further slip-ups.

A victory here would not only lift morale but also keep their playoff hopes alive. The team’s intent, energy, and ability to seize key moments will decide whether they can break free from their slump or continue to languish at the bottom. For Thunder, it’s now or never.

The Strikers banking on home advantage

Adelaide Strikers return to the Adelaide Oval with confidence, knowing that home advantage has often been their biggest strength in the Big Bash League. The venue’s batting-friendly surface and short square boundaries perfectly suit their aggressive style, allowing their top order to unleash freely while the bowlers rely on crowd support to lift intensity. With two wins from four matches so far, the Strikers sit mid-table and will be eager to climb higher by capitalizing on familiar conditions.

The Adelaide Oval has historically been a fortress for the Strikers, where their spinners thrive in the middle overs and pacers exploit early seam movement under lights. Backed by passionate home fans, the team tends to play with added energy and composure, often turning tight contests in their favor. Against Sydney Thunder, who are struggling at the bottom of the table, the Strikers will look to dictate terms from the outset.

A strong performance here could not only consolidate their position but also send a statement to the rest of the league. For the Strikers, banking on home advantage is more than just comfort—it’s about momentum, belief, and keeping their playoff aspirations firmly on track. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

AS vs ST Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 22
AS won: 12
ST won: 10
No Result: 0
Tied: 0
RECENT form ADELAIDE STRIKERS: W L L W L
RECENT form SYDNEY THUNDER: L W L L L

Adelaide Strikers and Sydney Thunder have locked horns 22 times in BBL 2025-26 history. It’s quite cutthroat competition between the two sides, as Strikers pip Thunder with 12 wins to their name, whereas the latter has won the remaining 10 games. 

Team Analysis: Adelaide Strikers and Sydney Thunder

How will the two teams, i.e., Sydney Thunder and Adelaide Strikers, fare in the 25th match of the Big Bash League 2025-26? Let’s take a look.

Adelaide Strikers (AS)

  • The Strikers have made a solitary change to their 13-man squad for this game.
  • Fast bowler Hassan Ali, who missed the last game, returns as the sole addition to the squad.
  • Ali will be replacing Tabraiz Shamsi in the eleven.
  • Jason Sangha’s repititive poor show may keep him out of the eleven for Alex Ross.

Expected Starting 11

Matthew Short (C), Chris Lynn, Mackenzie Harvey, Jason Sangha/Alex Ross, Liam Scott, Jamie Overton, Harry Manenti, Jerrssis Wadia, Luke Wood, Hasan Ali, Lloyd Pope

Sydney Thunder (ST)

  • England all-rounder David Willey has been named in the Sydney Thunder’s 14-player squad for this game.
  • Willey comes in as an international replacement player for Shadab Khan, who is competing in the Pakistan v Sri Lanka T20I series.
  • Shadab will return to the BBL on January 16.
  • David Willey will fill in for Shadab Khan in the eleven.

Expected Starting 11

David Warner (C), Sam Konstas, Matthew Gilkes, Sam Billings (WK),Nic Maddinson, David Willey, Daniel Sams, Chris Green, Nathan McAndrew, Wes Agar, Tom Andrews

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the 25th match of the Big Bash League 2025 between Sydney Thunder and Adelaide Strikers at the Adelaide Oval, Adelaide:

Pitch ReportWeather Report
The Adelaide Oval surface is traditionally batting-friendly, offering good bounce and carry.Conditions in Adelaide are expected to be clear and warm, with minimal chances of rain.
Early overs may assist pace bowlers with seam movement, but as the game progresses, the pitch tends to settle, favoring stroke play.Temperatures are forecast to hover around 28–30°C, which is typical for January evenings in Adelaide.
Short square boundaries make big hitting easier, so expect plenty of sixes if batters get set.Humidity levels remain moderate, ensuring comfortable playing conditions without excessive dew.
Spinners usually come into play in the middle overs, exploiting any dryness on the surface.Wind speeds are light, unlikely to affect play significantly.
A par score is likely in the range of 170–180 runs, given the batting depth of both sides.Overall, the weather is ideal for cricket, with no interruptions expected.

Toss Prediction

Sydney Thunder may prefer chasing under lights, while Adelaide Strikers often back themselves to defend at home. With the Adelaide Oval pitch favoring batters later, the toss winner is likely to opt for bowling first, aiming to exploit early seam movement and set up a chase-friendly scenario.

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The online live streaming of the 25th match of the Big Bash League 2025-26 will take place live on the JioHotstar app. The live TV coverage for this series will be available on Star Sports Channels.

AS vs ST: Today’s Match Predictions

The Adelaide Strikers will be starting as the favorites in this game. They are playing at home and have dominated Thunder in the recent past by winning 4 of the 5 games against them. These two reasons are enough to keep Strikers afloat for this fixture. Therefore, as per our prediction, the Adelaide Strikers are expected to win the AS vs ST, Match 25 of the Big Bash League 2025.

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Adelaide Strikers Logo
Odds » 1.76
VS.
Sydney Thunder Logo
Odds » 2.08