Match 3rd ODI
New Zealand Tour of Bangladesh (3 ODIs)
April 23, 2026, 10:30 am
Bangladesh Logo
Bangladesh
Odds » 1.6
VS.
New Zealand  Logo
New Zealand
Odds » 2.4
Bir Sreshtho Flight Lieutenant Matiur Rahman Stadium, Chattogram

BAN vs NZ Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: New Zealand Tour of Bangladesh 2026, 3rd ODI, April 23

Published on: Apr 22, 2026 11:39 am IST | Updated on: Apr 22, 2026 11:39 am IST

Get daily updates from India Fantasy on Telegram

The Bangladesh vs New Zealand ODI series has reached its final juncture. We are into the decider of the series, with both teams winning a game each to stand 1-1 ahead of the third and final game. The nation’s capital, Dhaka, hosted the first two games of the series; meanwhile, the third game will be played in Chattogram. It has been a brilliant effort from both teams so far in the series. New Zealand won the first game by 26 runs, whereas the hosts, Bangladesh, bounced back with a 6-wicket victory in the second fixture. With the series nicely poised, expect a thriller of a decider in Chattogram. In this post, we have come up with free expert tips for the 3rd ODI match, BAN vs NZ at Bir Sreshtho Flight Lieutenant Matiur Rahman Stadium, Chattogram.

Win Probability: BAN vs NZ

Despite a second-string squad, New Zealand has done pretty well in this series; in fact, they won the first game of the series against a team that is hard to beat at home. However, their spirited effort was shattered in the second game itself, and now it’s time for the series decider. The hosts, Bangladesh, should start as the favorites as they are playing at home and are fresh off a win in the previous fixture. Expect the win probability meter to favor the hosts. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the 3rd ODI match, BAN vs NZ at Bir Sreshtho Flight Lieutenant Matiur Rahman Stadium, Chattogram.

BAN: 62% win chance
NZ: 38% win chance

  • Both teams have managed to win three of their last 5 ODIs, which includes 2 losses.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head meetings between the two sides, New Zealand still holds the upper hand with 3 wins, whereas Bangladesh has won 2 games.

Cricket Betting Tips for BAN vs NZ- 3rd ODI

Nick Kelly to score Over 21.5

The young Blackcaps batter has been leading the run charts in the series so far with 90 runs from 2 innings. He has a fifty to his name in this series and will be looking to have another good outing.

Towhid Hridoy to score Over 23.5

The Bangladesh's middle-order batter is the leading run-getter in this series for Bangladesh so far with 85 runs from 2 innings. Expect him to deliver yet again.

Dean Foxcroft to score Over 18.5

For his valiant 59 in the first game of the series, Dean earned a richly deserved man of the match award. Expect Foxcroft to play yet another defining knock in this game.

Saif Hassan to score Over 23.5

Saif scored a fifty in the opening game but could manage only 8 runs in the following game. Saif is a better batter than the innings he played in the second ODI, as the right-hander has amassed 271 runs in his last 10 ODI outings at an average of 27.

BAN vs NZ Today’s Match Prediction

Check out our prediction for the BAN vs NZ 3rd ODI match at the Bir Sreshtho Flight Lieutenant Matiur Rahman Stadium, Chattogram

Bangladesh should have the upper hand heading into this contest

The Bangladesh vs New Zealand ODI series has reached its climax, with the teams locked at 1‑1 heading into the decisive third game in Chattogram. After suffering defeat in the opening fixture in Dhaka, Bangladesh bounced back strongly in the second ODI, clinching a convincing 6‑wicket victory to level the series.

That win showcased Bangladesh’s resilience, with their batting lineup stepping up under pressure and their bowlers maintaining discipline to restrict New Zealand. Playing at home has always been an advantage for Bangladesh, and the shift to Chattogram could further tilt the balance in their favor, given their familiarity with conditions and crowd support.

New Zealand, on the other hand, will be eager to regroup quickly and address their middle‑order concerns, which have left them vulnerable when the top order fails. Their bowlers must also adapt to the slower surfaces that tend to favor Bangladesh’s spinners.

With momentum on their side and confidence restored, Bangladesh head into the decider with the upper hand. A win here would not only seal the series but also underline their growing stature in home conditions.

Can an inexperienced New Zealand’s outfit produce an upset in Bangladesh?

The New Zealand ODI squad, missing several of its seasoned campaigners, surprised many by clinching the opening game of the series against Bangladesh with a 26‑run victory in Dhaka. That result highlighted the fighting spirit of this relatively inexperienced outfit, proving they can still challenge strong opposition in unfamiliar conditions.

However, consistency remains the key question. While the Black Caps showed resilience in the first match, their batting depth and middle‑order stability continue to be areas of concern. Much of their success hinges on the top order firing, and their bowlers maintaining discipline against Bangladesh’s aggressive stroke makers.

For New Zealand, this is an opportunity to prove that youth and inexperience can still deliver under pressure. An upset win here would not only seal the series but also showcase the depth and character of their next generation. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

BAN vs NZ Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 48
NZ won: 35
BAN won: 12
No Result: 1
Tied: 0
RECENT form BANGLADESH: W L W L W
RECENT form NEW ZEALAND: L W W W L

In 48 meetings between the two sides, New Zealand has been the dominant side with 35 victories to their name. Bangladesh, meanwhile, has registered only 12 wins to their name. 

Team Analysis: Bangladesh and New Zealand

How will the two teams, i.e., Bangladesh and New Zealand, fare in the 3rd ODI? Let’s take a look.

Bangladesh (BAN)

  • Mustafizur Rahman is yet to play in this series. He could get into the eleven for Taskin Ahmed.
  • Soumya Sarkar may have got out cheaply in the last game but is expected to keep his place.
  • Bangladesh, more or less, is expected to stick with the same eleven from the last game.

Expected Starting 11

Tanzid Hasan Tamim, Saif Hassan, Soumya Sarkar, Najmul Hossain Shanto, Litton Das (WK), Towhid Hridoy, Mehidy Hasan Miraz (C), Taskin Ahmed/Mustafizur Rahman, Shoriful Islam, Rishad Hossain, Nahid Rana

New Zealand (NZ)

  • In the last two games, the Blackcaps have opted for the same eleven.
  • The only change one can expect in the existing lineup is bringing in Adithya Ashok for Jayden Lennox.

Expected Starting 11

Henry Nicholls, Will Young, Nick Kelly, Dean Foxcroft, Tom Latham (C/WK), Muhammad Abbas, Josh Clarkson, Nathan Smith, Blair Tickner, Will O’Rourke, Adithya Ashok/Jaydenn Lennox

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the 3rd ODI between Bangladesh and New Zealand at the Bir Sreshtho Flight Lieutenant Matiur Rahman Stadium, Chattogram:

 

Pitch Report (Chattogram)Weather Report (Chattogram, April 23, 2026 – Day Game)
The Chattogram surface is generally batting‑friendly, with good pace and bounce early on.Temperatures expected around 30–32°C, hot and humid conditions typical of coastal Bangladesh.
Average first‑innings scores hover around 260–280 runs in ODIs here.Humidity levels high at 70–75%, which could test player endurance.
Pacers get early movement, especially with the new ball under morning conditions.Skies forecast to be mostly clear, with minimal chance of rain interruptions.
Spinners come into play as the pitch slows down, offering grip in the middle overs.A gentle coastal breeze may aid swing but won’t disrupt play.
Chasing teams often struggle if the pitch slows, making batting first a safer option.Dew is unlikely in a day game, ensuring fair conditions for both innings.

Toss Prediction

At Chattogram, batting first often proves decisive as the pitch slows later. With spinners expected to dominate in the middle overs, captains winning the toss may prefer to set a target, avoiding the challenge of chasing on a surface that becomes sluggish as the game progresses.

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The online live streaming of the 3rd ODI match of the New Zealand tour of Bangladesh will take place live on the FANCODE app. The live TV coverage for this series won’t be available in India.

BAN vs NZ: Today’s Match Predictions

Bangladesh playing at home is a different team altogether. Yes, they lost the first ODI of the series, but that shouldn’t take them out of contention in the series decider. They should enter as the extreme favorites in this fixture against a second-string New Zealand lineup, which has put up a good show in this series, but their inexperience will work against them in the decider. Therefore, as per our prediction, the hosts, Bangladesh, are expected to win the BAN vs NZ 3rd ODI match.

For more Cricket Betting Tips like this, Click Here

Bangladesh Logo
Odds » 1.6
VS.
New Zealand  Logo
Odds » 2.4