Match 1st ODI
Pakistan Tour of Bangladesh 2026
March 11, 2026, 1:45 pm
Bangladesh Logo
Bangladesh
Odds » 2.5
VS.
Pakistan Logo
Pakistan
Odds » 1.53
Shere Bangla National Stadium, Dhaka

BAN vs PAK Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: Pakistan Tour of Bangladesh 2026, 1st ODI, March 11

Published on: Mar 10, 2026 1:50 pm IST | Updated on: Mar 10, 2026 12:05 pm IST

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The T20 World Cup is over, and it’s time to begin preparations for the next ICC mega-event: the OG World Cup, the ICC ODI World Cup 2027. Bangladesh and Pakistan have taken the first step towards getting the preparations kicking off in a 3-match ODI series starting from 11th March. Bangladesh is playing host to this series, and all three games will be played at the country’s capital in Dhaka’s Sher-e-Bangla National Stadium. In this post, we have compiled free expert tips for the 1st ODI of the Pakistan tour of Bangladesh 2026 at the Sher-e-Bangla National Stadium, Dhaka.

Win Probability: BAN vs PAK

Bangladesh is one of the toughest teams to beat at home, especially in ODI cricket. They are heading into this series on the back of a 2-1 series win over the West Indies at home. Meanwhile, Pakistan had a tough time in the T20 World Cup 2026 recently. However, in their last ODI assignment against Sri Lanka at home, the Men in Green clean-swept them 3-0 and stamped authority over their Asian counterparts. Playing away from home here, Pakistan won’t start as the outright favorites in this series, especially with some key players missing from the squad. Therefore, expect the win probability meter to favor the hosts, Bangladesh. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the 1st ODI of the Pakistan tour of Bangladesh 2026 at the Sher-e-Bangla National Stadium, Dhaka.

PAK: 47% win chance
BAN: 53% win chance

  • Pakistan have registered four wins out of their last five ODI games. This includes a loss as well.
  • Bangladesh has won only two games out of their last 5 ODIs. This includes three losses as well.
  • In the last 4 completed ODI meetings between the two sides, Pakistan has dominated with 3 wins, whereas Bangladesh has won a solitary game.

Cricket Betting Tips for BAN vs PAK- 1st ODI

Litton Das to score Over 23.5

The wicket-keeper batter is set to reprise a new role in the eleven of Bangladesh. Litton will be batting at no. 5, and one can expect him to excel in his new batting order given the form he has been in of late in white-ball cricket.

Towhid Hridoy to score Over 22.5

The right-hander in the middle order will be one to watch out for in Bangladesh's lineup. Hridoy has scored 288 runs in his last 10 outings at an average of 28.8.

Salman Ali Agha to score Over 24.5

The Pakistan T20 skipper had a rough time in the T20 World Cup 2026. However, he is averaging around 45 in his last 10 ODI outings and has scored 320 runs in that phase. Expect Ali to play a crucial role at no 3 for the visitors.

Sahibzada Farhan to score Over 29.5

The Pakistan opener had a memorable T20 World Cup 2026. He finished as the leading run-getter in the tournamaent an will look to transcend the same form in this series as well.

BAN vs PAK Today’s Match Prediction

Check out our prediction for the BAN vs PAK 1st ODI of the Pakistan tour of Bangladesh 2026 at the Sher-e-Bangla National Stadium, Dhaka.

It will be a test for Pakistan’s relatively new batting order in Bangladesh

The 3-match ODI series against Bangladesh will be a test for the relatively new ODI outfit of Pakistan, led by Shaheen Shah Afridi. The selectors have made bold calls, leaving out senior names like Babar Azam and Saim Ayub while handing a maiden call‑up to Maaz Sadaqat. The squad features six uncapped players—Abdul Samad, Maaz Sadaqat, Muhammad Ghazi Ghori, Saad Masood, Sahibzada Farhan, and Shamyl Hussain—with several of them having recently represented Pakistan Shaheens against England Lions in Abu Dhabi.

With Shaheen Shah Afridi continuing as captain, the batting unit will be under scrutiny. The absence of established anchors means the spotlight shifts to youngsters like Farhan and Sadaqat, alongside experienced campaigners Mohammad Rizwan and Salman Ali Agha, who must provide stability.

Bangladesh’s spinners, coupled with home conditions, will test Pakistan’s adaptability. For the visitors, this series presents a chance for Pakistan to identify future batting leaders and assess how well the next generation can handle pressure in challenging subcontinental conditions.

Bangladesh at home is a tough side to beat

Bangladesh has long established itself as one of the most formidable sides in home conditions, and the upcoming ODI series against Pakistan is another chance to showcase that dominance. The Sher‑e‑Bangla National Stadium in Dhaka has historically favored Bangladesh’s spinners, while their batting unit thrives on familiarity with the slow, turning surfaces.

Team management has backed key players despite recent questions. “There may be questions about Litton Das’s recent ODI form, but he has been working closely with the coaches on his game,” Hossain clarified. “We believe he can soon produce his best in this format and are considering him as an option to strengthen the middle order. (Afif) brings valuable experience and is currently appears to be in fine touch. Mahidul Islam has been retained, and this is a good opportunity for him to fulfil the potential he has shown.”

With Mehidy Hasan Miraz leading the side, Bangladesh’s squad blends experienced campaigners like Mustafizur Rahman and Taskin Ahmed with promising talents such as Tanzid Hasan and Mahidul Islam. Their ability to adapt quickly to conditions, coupled with crowd support in Dhaka, makes them a daunting opponent. For Pakistan’s new‑look batting order, this series is a stern examination against a side that rarely falters at home. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

BAN vs PAK Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 39
PAK won: 34
BAN won: 5
No Result: 0
Tied: 0
RECENT form PAKISTAN: L W W W W
RECENT form BANGLADESH: L L W L W

In 39 ODI meetings between Pakistan and Bangladesh, Pakistan has sheerly dominated in this head-to-head battle, winning 34 contests, whereas Bangladesh has won only 5.

Team Analysis: Bangladesh and Pakistan

How will the two teams, i.e., Bangladesh and Pakistan, fare in the 1st ODI of the Pakistan tour of Bangladesh 2026? Let’s take a look.

Pakistan (PAK)

  • Pakistan has made some questionable changes to their squad of 15 members.
  • All-rounder Saim Ayub and senior batter Babar Azam have been omitted from the squad due to a poor run in the recently concluded T20 World Cup 2026.
  • Abdul Samad, Maaz Sadaqat, Muhammad Ghazi Ghori, Saad Masood, Sahibzada Farhan, and Shamyl Hussain are the 6 uncapped players in the squad.
  • Sahibzada Farhan, after his magnificent run in the T20 World Cup, is set to open the innings alongside uncapped opener Shamyl Hussain.
  • Salman Ali Agha will be batting at no 3 followed by the likes of Mohammad Rizwan, Hussain Talat, Maaz Sadaqat, and Abdul Samad.
  • In the bowling department, skipper Shaheen Shah Afridi will partner alongside Haris Rauf, Abrar Ahmed, and either Faheem Ashraf or Faisal Akram.

Expected Starting 11

Sahibzada Farhan, Shamyl Hussain, Salman Ali Agha, Mohammad Rizwan (WK), Hussain Talat, Maaz Sadaqat, Abdul Samad, Shaheen Afridi (C), Haris Rauf, Abrar Ahmed, Faisal Akram

Bangladesh (BAN)

  • Bangladesh have named a 15-man squad for this series with some interesting changes.
  • Nurul Hasan, Jaker Ali Anik, and Shamim Hossain have been dropped from the squad.
  • Afif Hossain makes a return to the squad after making his last ODI appearance back in December 2024.
  • Hasan Mahmud (tennis elbow) and Tanzim Hasan Sakib (back) remain out. The injured pair are expected to be fully fit by the end of the month.
  • Despite a lean patch in ODI cricket, senior wicket-keeper batter Litton Das has retained his place in the eleven. However, he will be batting at a new position, i.e., no 5.
  • Saif Hassan, along with Soumya Sarkar, is expected to open the innings.
  • Former skipper Najmul Hossain Shanto will bat at no 3 followed by Tanzid Hasan, Litton Das (WK), Tawhid Hridoy, and Afif Hossain.
  • Skipper Mehidy Hasan Miraz will be a key figure with both bat and ball.
  • Taskin Ahmed, Mustafizur Rahman, and Rishad Hossain will be the key figures in the bowling unit.

Expected Starting 11

Soumya Sarkar, Saif Hassan, Najmul Hossain Shanto, Tanzid Hasan, Litton Das (WK), Towhid Hridoy, Afif Hossain, Mehidy Hasan Miraz (C), Taskin Ahmed, Mustafizur Rahman, Rishad Hossain

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the 1st ODI of the Pakistan tour of Bangladesh 2026 between Pakistan and Bangladesh at the Sher-e-Bangla National Stadium, Dhaka:

Pitch ReportWeather Report
The Sher-e-Bangla surface is traditionally slow and low, assisting spinners as the game progresses.Conditions expected to be warm and humid, with temperatures around 28–30°C.
Batting is easier in the first 20 overs, but stroke play becomes harder later due to grip and turn.Humidity above 70% could aid swing early on, especially for seamers.
Pacers rely on variations and cutters, while spinners dominate the middle overs.Minimal rain chances; forecast suggests clear skies with slight cloud cover.
Venue stats: Avg 1st Innings Score – 163, Avg 2nd Innings Score – 141.Light breeze expected, unlikely to affect play significantly.
Teams chasing have a slight edge (55% win rate).Dew factor under lights may favor the chasing side.

Toss Prediction

With the Sher‑e‑Bangla pitch expected to slow down later and dew likely under lights, the team winning the toss should opt to bowl first. Chasing has historically offered better success here, making it the safer choice in these conditions for the opening ODI clash.

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The online live streaming of the 1st ODI of the Pakistan tour of Bangladesh 2026 will take place live on the Fancode app. The live TV coverage for this series won’t take place in India.

BAN vs PAK: Today’s Match Predictions

Playing at home, Bangladesh is always a formidable unit. Pakistan, with a relatively new side, particularly in batting, will be under pressure to perform in conditions that won’t be in their favor. Therefore, the hosts, Bangladesh, should have the upper hand heading into this game. For now, as per our prediction, Bangladesh is expected to win the BAN vs PAK, 1st ODI of the Pakistan tour of Bangladesh 2026.

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Bangladesh Logo
Odds » 2.5
VS.
Pakistan Logo
Odds » 1.53