Match South Group Match
English T20 Blast 2025
July 16, 2025, 10:45 pm
 Middlesex Logo
Middlesex
Odds » 3.20
VS.
Surrey Logo
Surrey
Odds » 1.32
The Lord's Cricket Ground, London

MID vs SUR Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: English T20 Blast 2025, South Group Match, July 16th

Published on: Jul 16, 2025 12:18 pm IST | Updated on: Oct 1, 2025 5:08 pm IST

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The home of cricket, i.e., the iconic Lord’s Cricket Ground in London, is all set to host the next game of the Vitality T20 Blast 2025. From the South Group, it will be Middlesex vs Surrey. The two teams have had contrasting fortunes so far, with Surrey already eliminated from the quarterfinals and Middlesex out of contention. In this post, we have come up with free expert tips for the English T20 Blast 2025 MID vs SUR.

Win Probability: MID vs SUR

Middlesex are always finding ways to lose games this season. Having lost as many as 7 games out of 12, they are already out of the quarterfinal race. Meanwhile, Surrey is eyeing the top position in the South Group with a win in this contest. They currently stand second on the table and will take the pole position if they win this fixture. Surrey will have a better win probability heading into this fixture. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the MID vs SUR English T20 Blast 2025 match.

MID: 62% win chance
SUR: 38% win chance

  • Middlesex stands second last on the points table, i.e., in the 8th spot.
  • They have 3 wins and 7 losses from 12 games to their name and have no chance of making it to the quarterfinals.
  • Surrey currently stands firm at the 2nd spot in the South Group points table.
  • They have 9 wins and 3 losses to their name from 12 matches and have the best net run-rate among all the other teams.

Cricket Betting Tips for MID vs SUR- English T20 Blast, South Group

Will Jacks to score Over 25.5

Will Jacks has been leading the batting charts for Surrey Lions this season. The prolific all-rounder has scored 352 runs in just 8 innings so far at a fabulous strike rate of 166.82.

Jason Roy to score Over 24.5

Surrey veteran Jason Roy has played some crucial knocks batting at no 3 this season. He will be a good bet in this game.

Stevie Eskinazi to score Over 20.5

Middlesex opener Stevie Eskinazi is the leading run-scorer for his side this season. From 10 innings, Eskinazi has 366 runs to his name at a strike-rate of 144.09.

Ryan Higgins to score Over 15.5

Higgins may bat lower down the order but is a good striker of the ball. He is a 2-dimensional player and will give you some overs as well. Therefore, he remains a good bet in this game.

MID vs SUR Today’s Match Prediction

Check out the English T20 Blast prediction for the MID vs SUR match.

Surrey are looking unstoppable and eyeing the top of the table spot

Surrey has hit their stride in the Vitality T20 Blast 2025, carving out a dominant run that has left rivals trailing in their wake. With a dynamic blend of seasoned campaigners and fearless youngsters, they’ve struck a near-perfect balance across the departments. Their batting unit, led by blistering openers and backed by a powerful middle order, has consistently posted or chased down formidable totals. Equally impressive has been their bowling, where their pace attack and crafty spinners have tightened the screws on opposition lineups.

Fielding has been sharp, energy levels high, and decision-making spot on, hallmarks of a side brimming with confidence. With each passing match, Surrey looks not just competitive but commanding, eyeing the top of the South Group table with unwavering focus.

As the tournament heads toward its decisive phase, Surrey’s form suggests they won’t settle for anything less than supremacy. If they sustain this momentum, the table top position won’t remain away from them for long.

Middlesex Panthers will be playing for pride

Middlesex’s journey through the Vitality T20 Blast 2025 has been riddled with missed chances and underwhelming performances, culminating in an early exit from the quarter-final race. Despite starting the tournament with flashes of optimism, their campaign quickly unraveled, marked by batting collapses, inconsistent bowling spells, and a struggle to string together wins. Each defeat further dented team morale, and the inability to close out tight contests became a recurring theme.

Injury concerns, strategic misfires, and a lack of momentum prevented Middlesex from settling into any kind of rhythm. Star players had their moments, but match-winning contributions remained scarce. As a result, they slipped down the South Group table, with qualification becoming a distant dream long before the final phase.

Now, with only pride to play for, the emphasis shifts to restoring belief and showing character. Middlesex can still use these games to blood promising talent, reward loyal fans with spirited performances, and lay early groundwork for next season. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

MID vs SUR Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 41
SUR won:
13
MID won: 28
No Result: 0

Surrey and Middlesex have had a rich history in the Vitality T20 Blast. The two sides have met 41 times, and it’s the Middlesex Panthers who have led the head-to-head battle handsomely with 28 wins. Their wins are almost double that of Surrey Lions, who have won 13 matches.

Team Analysis: Middlesex Panthers and Surrey Lions

How will the two teams, i.e., Middlesex and Surrey, fare in the English T20 Blast 2025 South Group? Let’s take a look.

Middlesex (MID)

  • A 13-man squad has been named for this London Derby, led by Leus du Plooy.
  • They are heading into this fixture on the back of a defeat at the hands of the Kent Spitfires.
  • Ben Geddes and Stevie Eskinazi will once again open the innings.
  • The middle-order will revolve around the likes of Kane Williamson, Leus du Plooy, Ryan Higgins, and wicket-keeper batter Joe Cracknell.
  • In the bowling unit, the onus would be on Joshua Little, Max Holden, and Noah Cornwell.

Expected Starting 11

Stephen Eskinazi, Ben Geddes, Kane Williamson, Leus du Plooy (c), Ryan Higgins, Joe Cracknell (wk), Luke Hollman, Zafar Gohar, Tom Helm, Joshua Little, Noah Cornwell

Surrey (SUR)

  • Surrey Lions have named a strong 14-man squad for the London Derby, led by all-rounder Sam Curran.
  • Aussie leg-spinner Adam Zampa has left the squad due to national commitments.
  • Spinner Yousef Majid, who has been brought into the squad at Zampa’s expense, will take the latter’s spot in the eleven.
  • The rest of the eleven will remain unchanged.
  • Will Jacks and Ryan Patel will open the innings.
  • The middle-order will comprise the likes of Jason Roy, Sam Curran, Ben Foakes, and Dan Lawrence.
  • Reece Topley Chris Jordan, Jamie Overton, Tom Curran and Sam Curran will form the pace unit,

Expected Starting 11:

Will Jacks, Ryan Patel, Jason Roy, Sam Curran (c), Daniel Lawrence, Ben Foakes (wk), Tom Curran, Jamie Overton, Chris Jordan, Yousef Majid, Reece Topley

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the English T20 Blast 2025 South Group Match, MID vs SUR at The Lord’s Cricket Ground, London:

Pitch ReportWeather Report
Balanced Surface – Offers early assistance to pacers with swing and bounce due to the grassy top.Mostly Cloudy – Expect overcast skies with intermittent sunshine.
Batting-Friendly Later – As the match progresses, the pitch flattens out, aiding stroke play.Temperature – Around 26°C during match hours.
Average T20 Score – Typically hovers around 160–170 runs.Humidity – Moderate at 41%, with minimal dew expected.
Spin Challenge – Spinners may struggle unless conditions dry out significantly.Wind Speed – Gentle breeze at 18 km/h.
Toss Factor – Teams often prefer bowling first; chasing sides have a 69% win rate at Lord’s in T20s.Rain Probability – Low, around 10%, so play should be uninterrupted.

Toss Prediction

At Lord’s, teams winning the toss in T20s typically opt to bowl first due to early seam movement and chasing advantages. Expect the captain winning the toss in the MID vs SUR clash to choose fielding first, banking on a settled pitch and minimal dew. History supports this call with a 69% win rate for chasing sides.

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The online live streaming of the English T20 Blast 2025 South Group match between Middlesex Panthers and Surrey Lions will be streaming live in India on SonyLiv and Fancode apps. There is no live TV streaming available for the tournament in India.

MID vs SUR: Today’s Match Predictions

Well, it’s a no-brainer who is going to be the favorite for this game. The Lions have been roaring, and a win is definitely in their sights to go to the top of the table in the South Group. Panthers are only playing for pride and will be the underdogs heading into this fixture. Therefore, as per our Vitality T20 Blast Prediction, Somerset is expected to win the MID vs SUR Dream11 Prediction contest.

 Middlesex Logo
Odds » 3.20
VS.
Surrey Logo
Odds » 1.32