Match 4
ICC T20 World Cup 2026
February 8, 2026, 11:00 am
New Zealand  Logo
New Zealand
Odds » 1.50
VS.
Afghanistan Logo
Afghanistan
Odds » 2.48
MA Chidambaram, Chennai

NZ vs AFG Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: ICC T20 World Cup 2026, Match 4, February 8

Published on: Feb 7, 2026 10:29 am IST | Updated on: Feb 5, 2026 12:35 pm IST

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We are into the second day of the T20 World Cup 2026, and it’s time for match no 4. Last edition’s semifinalists Afghanistan will be taking on New Zealand at the MA Chidambaram Stadium in Chennai in a morning game. This is going to be the first game from Group D, which is also tipped as the group of death as there are three genuine teams in New Zealand, Afghanistan, and South Africa who could go through to the Super 8 stage. In this post, we have compiled free expert tips for the 4th match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 at the MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai.

Win Probability: NZ vs AFG

New Zealand will be looking to peel off their wounds given by Afghanistan in the last T20 World Cup. Afghanistan showed them the exit door in the 2024 edition in the first round itself. Two years later, the stage remains the same, and these two teams are on either side of the ring to give each other the sucker punch. Playing at a dry surface in Chennai, Afghanistan will fancy their chances courtesy of the spin attack they have in their arsenal. Therefore, expect the win probability meter to lean in their favor. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the 4th match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 at the MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai.

NZ: 42% win chance
AFG: 58% win chance

  • Afghanistan has been thoroughly impressive in recent times. They have won 4 of their last 5 T20Is including a loss.
  • They are heading into this World Cup on the back of a 2-1 series win over West Indies.
  • New Zealand’s recent T20I run has been quite opposite to their counterparts. They have won only a solitary game and lost four.
  • The Blackcaps are heading into this World Cup on the back of a 1-4 series loss to India.

Cricket Betting Tips for NZ vs AFG- Match 4

Finn Allen to score Over 19.5

The Blackcaps opener was terrific in the recently concluded BBL, finishing as the top run-getter, and followed it up with a brilliant 80-odd against India in the final T20I ahead of the T20 World Cup. Allen will be a vital cog for New Zealand's chances up the order.

Daryl Mitchell to score Over 19.5

Daryl Mitchell has been batting too late, but remains an important player in the middle order for the Kiwis. The senior batter has scored 207 runs in his last 10 T20I outings, striking at a brilliant rate of 181.57.

Ibrahim Zadran to score Over 22.5

The right-hand opener will be a key figure at the top for the Afghans. He is their most consistent batter in recent times and has scored 366 runs in his last 9 innings at a scintillating average of 52.29.

Sediqullah Atal to score Over 19.5

The Afghan no 3 will be another dependable batter like Ibrahim Zadran. Atal will be a vital wicket, as Afghanistan's batting is heavily dependent on their top 3.

NZ vs AFG Today’s Match Prediction

Check out our prediction for the NZ vs AFG 4th Match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 at the MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai.

Can new Zealand handle Chennai’s heat and Afghan’s spin threat?

New Zealand is set to face Afghanistan in Match 4 at the MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai. This Group D encounter is already being billed as one of the most crucial fixtures in the “group of death,” with South Africa also in contention for the Super 8 spots.

Afghanistan, semifinalists in the last edition, will carry confidence from their stunning victory over New Zealand in 2024, which knocked the Kiwis out in the first round. Their spin-heavy attack, led by Rashid Khan and Mujeeb Ur Rahman, is tailor-made for Chennai’s turning tracks, and the morning heat will only add to the challenge for the Black Caps.

New Zealand, however, are known for their adaptability and resilience. With experienced batters and versatile all-rounders, they will look to counter Afghanistan’s spin threat and erase the scars of their previous defeat. The contest promises high intensity, as both sides aim to land the first blow in Group D. For New Zealand, it’s about handling the heat and spin; for Afghanistan, it’s about proving their giant-killing credentials once again.

Afghanistan should look to take advantage of Chennai’s slow surface

Afghanistan enter the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 with one of the most potent spin attacks in the tournament, and the conditions at the MA Chidambaram Stadium in Chennai could play right into their hands. Known for its slow, turning tracks, Chepauk has historically favored spinners who can exploit grip and variation. With Rashid Khan, Mujeeb Ur Rahman, and Noor Ahmad in their ranks, Afghanistan possess the perfect arsenal to trouble opposition batters on such surfaces.

Morning matches at this venue often see the pitch offering assistance from the start, making batting tricky and rewarding bowlers who maintain discipline. Afghanistan’s strategy should revolve around building pressure through spin, forcing mistakes, and restricting scoring opportunities. Their batters, meanwhile, must adapt to rotating strike and targeting loose deliveries rather than relying solely on power hitting.

Having reached the semifinals in the 2024 edition, Afghanistan will be eager to continue their rise. If they maximize the advantage of Chennai’s slow surface, they could once again emerge as one of the most dangerous sides in the competition, capable of unsettling even the strongest opponents. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

NZ vs AFG Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 3
NZ won: 1
AFG won: 1
No Result: 1
Tied: 0
RECENT form NEW ZEALAND: W AB W L L
RECENT form AFGHANISTAN: L L L W L

New Zealand and Afghanistan have collided only thrice in T20I history. Both teams have won a game each, and one match was abandoned without a ball being bowled. Their last meeting took place in the 2024 T20 World Cup, where Afghanistan secured a mammoth 84-run victory. 

Team Analysis: New zealand and Afghanistan

How will the two teams, i.e., New Zealand and Afghanistan, fare in the 4th Match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026? Let’s take a look.

New Zealand (NZ)

  • For New Zealand, Finn Allen along with Tim Seifert will be opening the innings.
  • Despite being in poor form, the Blackcaps are going to stick with Rachin Ravindra to bat at no 3.
  • The rest of the batting order will see the likes of Glenn Phillips, Daryl Mitchell, Mark Chapman, and Michael Bracewell.
  • The team management might go with three spinners on Chennai’s surface in Mitchell Santner, Michael Bracewell, and Ish Sodhi.
  • Among the pacers, Jacob Duffy, and Matt Henry will be the ones to start in the eleven.

Expected Starting 11

Finn Allen, Tim Seifert (WK), Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips, Daryl Mitchell, Mark Chapman, Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner (C), Ish Sodhi, Matt Henry, Jacob Duffy

Afghanistan (AFG)

  • For the Afghans, Rahmanullah Gurbaz will be opening the innings alongside Ibrahim Zadran.
  • At no 3, Sediqullah Atal will be batting, followed by Darwaish Rasooli, Azmatullah Omarzai, Gulbadin Naib, and Mohammad Nabi.
  • The spin trio will feature Rashid Khan, Noor Ahmad, and Mujeeb Ur Rahman. The experienced Mohammad Nabi will be used as the fourth spinner.
  • Fazalhaq Farooqi, Gulbadin Naib and Azmatullah Omarzai will take care of the pace bowling department.

Expected Starting 11

Rahmanullah Gurbaz (WK), Ibrahim Zadran, Sediqullah Atal, Darwaish Rasooli, Azmatullah Omarzai, Gulbadin Naib, Mohammad Nabi, Rashid Khan (C), Noor Ahmad, Mujeeb Ur Rahman, Fazalhq Farooqi

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the 4th Match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 between New Zealand and Afghanistan at the MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai:

Pitch ReportWeather Report
The Chepauk surface traditionally favors spinners, with grip and turn available even in T20s.Morning conditions in Chennai are hot and humid, with temperatures around 30–32°C.
Batting can be challenging early, requiring patience and strike rotation.Clear skies expected with minimal cloud cover, reducing rain chances.
Pacers may find reverse swing later, but spinners will be the key weapon.Humidity levels will be high, testing player endurance in the midday heat.
A par score here is usually around 155–165 runs, lower than other venues.Winds are light, unlikely to affect play significantly.
Teams batting first often aim to post a competitive total and let spinners dictate terms.No major interruptions forecast, ensuring a full game.
Outfield is slightly slower compared to other grounds, rewarding placement over power.Dew unlikely in a morning start, so conditions remain consistent throughout.

Toss Prediction

In the morning session of the match, the toss will be decisive. With spin expected to dominate and no dew in a morning start, both captains may prefer batting first to post a competitive total. Expect a tactical call, with conditions favoring spinners as the game progresses.

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The online live streaming of the 4th Match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 will take place live on the JioHotstar app. The live TV coverage for this World Cup will take place on Star Sports Network channels.

NZ vs AFG: Today’s Match Predictions

A surface being dry and favoring spin is nothing but gold for Afghanistan. They are an old-school team that loves to bat first and dictate terms in the second innings with their spinners. As the match progresses, the wicket will slow down, giving Afghanistan’s spinners ample opportunity to make the match their own. Therefore, as per our prediction, Afghanistan is expected to win the NZ vs AFG, 4th Match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026.

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New Zealand  Logo
Odds » 1.50
VS.
Afghanistan Logo
Odds » 2.48