Match 41
ICC T20 World Cup 2026
February 21, 2026, 7:00 pm
New Zealand  Logo
New Zealand
Odds » 1.62
VS.
Pakistan Logo
Pakistan
Odds » 2.22
R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo

NZ vs PAK Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: ICC T20 World Cup 2026, Super 8 Match 41, February 21

Published on: Feb 20, 2026 6:40 pm IST | Updated on: Feb 20, 2026 12:22 pm IST

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It’s time for the Super 8s in the ICC T20 World Cup 2026. The first game of this stage is all set to be played between New Zealand and Pakistan at the R Premadasa Stadium in Colombo. Both these teams are in Group 2 and finished in the second spot in their respective groups with 3 wins and a loss to their name. This is a contest between two quality sides who have played decent cricket so far in the tournament. Expect a mouthwatering contest in Colombo. In this post, we have compiled free expert tips for the 41st match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 at the R Premadasa Stadium in Colombo.

Win Probability: NZ vs PAK

Pakistan has been accustomed to Colombo’s conditions, as they have played all their games so far in this city. New Zealand, on the other hand, has played all their games in India so far, and this will be their first game of this tournament in Sri Lanka. Given that Pakistan has played all their games in Sri Lanka and have ample spin depth according to conditions, they should head into this contest with the upper hand. Therefore, the win probability meter should lean in favor of Pakistan. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the 41st match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 at the R. Premadasa Stadium in Colombo.

PAK: 53% win chance
NZ: 47% win chance

  • Pakistan has been exceptional in recent times. Apart from their blip against India in this World Cup, they have won six of their last seven T20Is.
  • New Zealand has managed 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 completed T20Is.
  • In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, New Zealand has sheerly dominated with 4 wins, whereas Pakistan has won only a solitary game.

Cricket Betting Tips for NZ vs PAK- Match 41

Tim Seifert to score Over 24.5

The Blackcaps wicket-keeper is leading the batting charts for the side in this World Cup. Seifert has scored 173 runs so far from 4 innings at a brilliant strike rate of 167.96.

Sahibzada Farhan to score Over 23.5

Fresh of a ton in the last game, Farhan is leading the run chart in this tournament so far with 220 runs from 4 innings, striking at 164.17.

Glenn Phillips to score Over 20.5

Glenn Phillips has been in decent touch in recent times and plays spin well. He is fresh off a fifty in the last game against Canada and also will play a vital role with his off spins.

Salman Ali Agha to score Over 19.5

Salman Ali Agha, the skipper of Pakistan, has had a flop show so far in this World Cup. However, he will look to contribute in this game and play a vital innings.

NZ vs PAK Today’s Match Prediction

Check out our prediction for the NZ vs PAK 41st Match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 at the Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi.

New Zealand should take advantage of their recent run over Pakistan

The ICC T20 World Cup 2026 Super 8s stage begins with New Zealand facing Pakistan at the R Premadasa Stadium in Colombo. For the Black Caps, this is an ideal opportunity to build momentum, as they enter the contest with a strong record against Pakistan in recent years.

New Zealand have dominated the head-to-head battle, winning four of the last five T20Is between the two sides. That run of success highlights their ability to adapt to Pakistan’s strengths and exploit weaknesses with disciplined bowling and aggressive batting. Their top order, led by consistent stroke-makers, has repeatedly set the tone, while the bowling unit’s variations on the slow surface of Colombo will be vital.

Having finished second in the ‘group of death,’ i.e., Group D with three wins and a single loss, New Zealand now aim to carry that form into the Super 8s. Confidence will be high, and if they can replicate their recent performances, the Black Caps are well placed to start this stage with a crucial victory.

Pakistan will look to dominate with a plethora of spinners

Pakistan enter the Super 8s stage of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 with a clear tactical edge, i.e., their spin arsenal. No other team in the tournament has deployed as many spinners, and this depth could prove decisive on Colombo’s slow, turning surfaces.

The likes of Mohammad Nawaz and Shadab Khan bring experience and control, while youngsters such as Saim Ayub and Abrar Ahmed add variety and unpredictability. Usman Tariq’s pause spin variations further strengthen the attack, and even skipper Salman Ali Agha has chipped in with crucial overs, as seen in the clash against India. This flexibility allows Pakistan to rotate options, maintain pressure, and exploit conditions tailor-made for spin.

On pitches where stroke-making becomes difficult, Pakistan’s spinners can choke run flow, force errors, and dictate the tempo of the game. With multiple match-winners in their ranks, Pakistan will look to dominate proceedings and turn spin into their most potent weapon. If their batters provide a competitive total, the spinners are well placed to tilt the contest in Pakistan’s favor. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

NZ vs PAK Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 49
NZ won: 23
PAK won: 24
No Result: 2
Tied: 0
RECENT form NEW ZEALAND: W W W L W
RECENT form PAKISTAN: L W W L W

Pakistan and New Zealand have collided 49 times in T20Is. It’s been a cutthroat contest between the two teams, as New Zealand has 23 wins to their name, whereas Pakistan has pipped their counterparts with 24 wins to their name. 2 games ended without a result. 

Team Analysis: Pakistan and New Zealand

How will the two teams, i.e., New Zealand and Pakistan, fare in the 41st match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026? Let’s take a look.

New Zealand (NZ)

  • Cole McConchie should make way for skipper Mitchell Santner, who missed the last game due to a niggle.
  • Lockie Ferguson, who went on paternity leave during the game against Canada, is expected to return for this game.
  • There could be a case for Ish Sodhi to play this game, as the pitch in Colombo will assist the spinners.
  • He could come in for Kyle Jamieson.
  • Also, if Lockie Ferguson has joined the squad, he should come in for either Matt Henry or Jacob Duffy.

Expected Starting 11

Tim Seifert (WK), Finn Allen, Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Mitchell Santner (C), James Neesham, Kyle Jamieson/Ish Sodhi, Matt Henry, Jacob Duffy

Pakistan (PAK)

  • Abrar Ahmed should return to the eleven for Khawaja Nafay.
  • There could be a toss-up between Shaheen Shah Afridi and Salman Mirza for the seamer’s spot.
  • No other changes are expected.

Expected Starting 11

Saim Ayub, Sahibzada Farhan, Salman Agha (C), Babar Azam, Usman Khan (WK), Shadab Khan, Mohammad Nawaz, Faheem Ashraf, Shaheen Afridi/Salman Mirza, Usman Tariq, Abrar Ahmed

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the 41st Match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 between Pakistan and New Zealand at the R Premadasa Stadium in Colombo:

Pitch ReportWeather Report
The R Premadasa surface is traditionally slow and assists spinners, making stroke play challenging as the innings progresses.Colombo is expected to have warm and humid conditions in the evening, with temperatures around the mid‑20s (°C).
Average first‑innings scores hover around 150–160, with chasing sides often struggling if the pitch slows down.Cloud cover may be present, but no major rain interruptions are forecast, ensuring a full contest.
Spinners will play a vital role, exploiting turn and grip, while pacers must rely on variations and cutters.Humidity could aid swing under lights, while dew in the second innings may favor batting and challenge bowlers.
Teams winning the toss generally prefer batting first to set a target, as defending totals has proven more successful here.Conditions are ideal for cricket, with minimal weather disruptions expected throughout the match.

Toss Prediction

With Colombo’s slow surface favoring spin, the captain winning the toss is likely to bat first. Setting a total around 160+ could be decisive, as chasing under lights becomes tricky despite the dew. Pakistan’s spinners may thrive defending, while New Zealand will rely on disciplined batting to counter conditions.

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The online live streaming of the 41st Match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 will take place live on the JioHotstar app. The live TV coverage for this World Cup will take place on Star Sports Network channels.

NZ vs PAK: Today’s Match Predictions

The surface in Colombo will assist spin. With Pakistan having a plethora of spinners, expect them to have an upper hand heading into this contest. New Zealand is known for playing tough cricket, and they could add Ish Sodhi to their bowling lineup to strengthen the spin attack. Expect a tough game between the two sides, with Pakistan having a slight upper hand. Therefore, as per our prediction, Pakistan is expected to win the NZ vs PAK, 41st match of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026.

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New Zealand  Logo
Odds » 1.62
VS.
Pakistan Logo
Odds » 2.22