Match 3rd T20I
West Indies Tour of New Zealand (5 T20Is)
November 9, 2025, 5:45 am
New Zealand  Logo
New Zealand
Odds » 1.42
VS.
West Indies Logo
West Indies
Odds » 2.85
Saxton Oval, Nelson

NZ vs WI Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: West Indies Tour of New Zealand 2025 T20I Series, 3rd T20I, November 9

Published on: Nov 8, 2025 5:45 am IST | Updated on: Nov 7, 2025 4:58 pm IST

Get daily updates from India Fantasy on Telegram

The Blackcaps have finally got themselves a win in a T20I in the scariest way possible. They hung on in the second T20I of the series at Eden Park in Auckland to barely defeat the West Indies by just 3 runs. In a last-ball thriller, the hosts held their nerves to get over the line by just 3 runs. With the series nicely poised at 1-1, the two teams will now head to Saxton Oval in Nelson for the third game of the season, which will be a day game. In this post, we have come up with free expert tips for the 3rd T20I match NZ vs WI at Saxton Oval in Nelson.

Win Probability: NZ vs WI

West Indies won the opening game, and the hosts, New Zealand, won the second. So far, it has been a great tussle between the two sides, and it has become tough to choose a favorite in this game. Heading into the third game, West Indies might slightly edge New Zealand, considering the fightback they displayed in the last 5 overs while chasing 200+ in the last game. Therefore, the win probability meter might favor the visitors. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the 3rd T20I Match NZ vs WI at Saxton Oval in Nelson.

WI: 53% win chance
NZ: 47% win chance

  • New Zealand, after a win in the last game, secured their first win after 6 losses in completed games.
  • A loss in the last game was West Indies’ first after five wins on the bounce.
  • In their last 5 meetings, New Zealand has secured 2 wins, whereas West Indies has pipped them by 1 more win, i.e., 3 wins.

Cricket Betting Tips for WI vs NZ- 3rd T20I

Shai Hope to score Over 23.5

The Windies skipper has managed to score a fifty in the first T20I and got 20 odds in the second game. He is among runs and will be a key batter for the visitors.

Tim Robinson to score Over 22.5

The New Zealand opener has got starts in both the games so far and is the second highest run-scorer in the series for his side so far. Expect him to give the Blackcaps an impressive start.

Mark Chapman to score Over 19.5

The left-hander was at his brutal best in the last game scoring a brisk 78 off 28 deliveries. He will be on the radar of opposition bowlers in this game.

Alick Athanaze to score Over

The young left-hander has had a decent start to his T20I career. He has scored 198 runs in his last 7 games at a strike rate of 135.61.

NZ vs WI Today’s Match Prediction

Check out our prediction for the WI vs NZ 3rd T20I match at the Saxton Oval in Nelson.

New Zealand must have gained confidence after a win in the last game

New Zealand will head into the third T20I against West Indies with renewed confidence after clinching a narrow 3-run win in the second match of the series. The victory helped the hosts level the five-match contest 1-1, setting the stage for a thrilling showdown in the third game.

Having lost the opening match by 7 runs, New Zealand showed resilience and tactical improvement in the second outing. Their bowlers held their nerve in the death overs, especially Kyle Jamieson, who bowled the last over, defending just 16 runs. The win not only broke West Indies’ momentum but also injected belief into the Kiwi camp, especially with key players stepping up under pressure.

Both teams have displayed competitive cricket so far, with close margins and high-intensity finishes. The third T20I now becomes a pivotal clash, one that could swing the series in either direction. For New Zealand, it’s a chance to build on their momentum and take a crucial lead. For West Indies, it’s about bouncing back and regaining control. With the series finely poised, fans can expect another edge-of-the-seat contest.

West Indies will be looking to bounce back

West Indies will be eager to bounce back in the third T20I after a narrow defeat in the second match of the series against New Zealand at Eden Park, Auckland. Losing by just 3 runs in a tense finish, the visitors will feel they were inches away from sealing a 2-0 lead. Instead, the series now stands level at 1-1, making the upcoming clash a crucial turning point.

Despite the setback, West Indies have shown plenty of promise. Their bowling attack has been disciplined, and the batting unit has produced flashes of brilliance. However, they’ll need to tighten their middle-order execution and finish games more clinically. The narrow margin of defeat in the second T20I will serve as both a lesson and a motivator.

With the series finely poised, West Indies will look to their senior players to lead the charge and younger talents to rise to the occasion. A win in the third match would not only restore their lead but also put pressure back on the hosts. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

WI vs NZ Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 22
WI won: 8
NZ won: 12
No Result: 2
RECENT form NEW ZEALAND: NR L NR L W
RECENT form WEST INDIES: W W W W L

After a win in the last game, the Blackcaps have maintained their lead, which they had at the start of this series. In 22 games played between these two sides now, the West Indies have 8 wins, whereas the Blackcaps have won 12. Two games have ended without a result.

Team Analysis: New Zealand vs West Indies

How will the two teams, i.e., New Zealand vs West Indies, fare in the third T20I in Nelson? Let’s take a look.

New Zealand (NZ)

  • Devon Conway’s lackluster form might open the gates for Mitchell Hay to return to the eleven and open the innings alongside Tim Robinson.
  • Nathan Smith over Zakary Foulkes, who went for plenty in the last game, could be another option New Zealand could consider.
  • No other changes are expected.

Expected Starting 11

Devon Conway (WK)/Mitchell Hay, Rachin Ravindra, Tim Robinson, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Michael Bracewell, James Neesham, Mitchell Santner (C), Jacob Duffy, Kyle Jameison, Zakary Foulkes/Nathan Smith

West Indies (WI)

  • Ackeem Augustee has failed in the last two games. This could propel the team management to bring in Sherfane Rutherford.
  • The rest of the eleven is expected to remain unchanged.

Expected Starting 11

Alick Athanaze, Brandon King, Shai Hope (C), Ackeem Auguste/Sherfane Rutherford, Roston Chase, Rovman Powell, Romario Shepherd, Jason Holder, Akeal Hosein, Matthew Forde, Jayden Seales

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the 2nd T20I between New Zealand vs West Indies at Saxton Oval in Nelson:

Pitch ReportWeather Forecast
Saxton Oval offers a balanced surface with good bounce and carry.Nelson experienced clear skies and mild conditions on match day.
Early movement for pacers, especially under overcast conditions.Temperatures ranged between 18–21°C during the evening.
Batters can settle in and accelerate once the ball softens.Humidity hovered around 60%, aiding swing in the first innings.
Spinners get some grip in the middle overs, especially with footmarks forming.No rain interruptions were reported; conditions remained dry throughout.
Average first innings score at the venue is around 160–170 in T20Is.Light winds from the southwest, minimal impact on play.
Outfield is quick, rewarding ground strokes and placement.Overall, ideal weather for uninterrupted cricket action.

Toss Prediction

With Saxton Oval offering early movement for pacers and a balanced surface, the team winning the toss is likely to bowl first. Chasing has been slightly easier at this venue, and both captains will factor in weather stability and pitch behavior before making their decision at the toss.

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The online live streaming of the 3rd T20I match of the West Indies Tour of New Zealand will take place live on the SonyLiv App and Amazon Prime App. TV viewers can watch this series live on Sony Sports Channels.

NZ vs WI: Today’s Match Predictions

New Zealand, buoyed by their narrow win in the second T20I, will carry momentum into the third clash. With home conditions and growing confidence, they’re likely to edge past West Indies in another close contest. Expect disciplined bowling and smart batting to help the hosts take a crucial 2-1 series lead. Therefore, as per our prediction, the host, New Zealand, is expected to win the NZ vs WI 3rd T20I match.

New Zealand  Logo
Odds » 1.42
VS.
West Indies Logo
Odds » 2.85