Match 5th ODI
Pakistan ODI Tri-Series 2026
October 27, 2026, 1:30 pm
Pakistan Logo
Pakistan
Odds » 1.46
VS.
Sri Lanka Logo
Sri Lanka
Odds » 2.73
Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore

PAK vs SL Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: Pakistan ODI Tri-Series 2026, 5th ODI, October 27

Published on: Oct 26, 2026 2:43 pm IST | Updated on: Oct 26, 2026 3:54 pm IST

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Shadab Khan’s maiden ODI ton and a record 10th-wicket partnership alongside Haris Rauf scripted Pakistan’s historic win over England in the previous game and also assured them a final berth. They will next face Sri Lanka in the fifth game of the tri-nation series, a team that is heading into this game on the back of a mammoth chase of 430 runs in the last game against England. With both teams already making a statement in their respective previous fixtures, expect a thriller of a contest at Lahore. In this post, we have come up with free expert tips for the 5th ODI match, PAK vs SL, at the Gaddafi Stadium in Lahore.

Win Probability: PAK vs SL

Pakistan enters this contest as the firm favorite. Shadab’s heroics in the last game were exceptional, keeping Pakistan undefeated in this tri-nation series. Sri Lanka also scripted history in their last outing by chasing down the second-highest total in ODI history against England. However, in the series opener, they got pummelled by Pakistan by 37 runs, making them the second favorite against an undefeated team in the series. Therefore, expect the win probability meter to lean in favor of the hosts. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the 5th ODI match, PAK vs SL, at the Gaddafi Stadium in Lahore.

PAK: 57% win chance
SL: 43% win chance

  • Pakistan have won three out of three games so far in this series.
  • They have won their last four ODIs on the bounce out of the last five.
  • The Lankans have won two of their last five ODIs and got beaten thrice in the span.
  • In the last five meetings between the two sides, Pakistan have dominated, winning all five games.

Cricket Betting Tips for PAK vs SL- 5th ODI

Pavan Rathnayake to score Over 25.5

Fresh off a magnificent ton in a run-fest chase, Pavan will be looking to continue from where he left off against England. Expect the right-hander to be among runs in this game as well.

Babar Azam to score Over 34.5

Babar may not have been the most consistent batters in the series so far, but has been getting some sort of starts in almost every game. Expect him to score those 20-30 in this game as well.

Kusal Mendis to score Over 28.5

Kusal was unfortunate to get out for a diamond duck in the previous game. The talent this Sri Lankan skipper possesses makes him a prime favorite to score heavily in this game.

Saad Baig to score Over 24.5

Although he couldn't last for a long time in the last game against England, Saad played some crisp shots towards the boundary line on his course to 32 off 22 deliveries. Expect the young wicket-keeper batter to continue his good touch.

PAK vs SL Today’s Match Prediction

Check out our prediction for the PAK vs SL 5th ODI match at the Gaddafi Stadium in Lahore.

Pakistan will look to enter the final undefeated

Pakistan’s campaign in the ongoing tri‑nation series has been nothing short of remarkable. Their latest triumph over England, powered by Shadab Khan’s maiden ODI century and a record 10th‑wicket stand with Haris Rauf, not only sealed a historic win but also guaranteed them a place in the final. The victory showcased Pakistan’s depth and resilience, with Shadab’s brilliance and Rauf’s fighting spirit epitomizing the team’s momentum.

Having already beaten England twice and Sri Lanka by 37 runs in the series opener, Pakistan now stands tall as the form side. Their batting has clicked at crucial moments, while the bowling unit has consistently applied pressure to opposition line‑ups. With confidence soaring and results backing their dominance, the Men in Green will enter the fifth game against Sri Lanka with one clear objective: to remain undefeated heading into the final.

For skipper Shaheen Shah Afridi and his men, this clash is about maintaining rhythm, asserting authority, and sending a strong message that Pakistan are determined to finish the group stage unbeaten.

Sri Lanka stoked after a record chase against England in the last game

Sri Lanka pulled off one of the most astonishing feats in ODI history, chasing down a mammoth 429‑run target against England to clinch victory by two wickets. It was the second‑highest successful chase ever recorded in the format, a testament to the resilience and firepower of the Lankan batting unit.

The hero of the night was Pavan Rathnayake, whose majestic 130 anchored the innings and kept belief alive. He was ably supported by skipper Dasun Shanaka and opener Avishka Fernando, both scoring 97 runs each, ensuring the chase never lost momentum. Together, this trio scripted a miracle, guiding Sri Lanka home with just one ball to spare and two wickets in hand.

The win not only stunned England but also injected immense confidence into the Sri Lankan camp. It showcased their ability to rise to monumental challenges and deliver under pressure. Heading into their next fixture, the islanders will be brimming with belief, knowing they have already etched their names into the record books with this historic chase. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

PAK vs SL Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 161
SL won: 59
PAK won: 97
No Result: 4
Tied: 1
RECENT form PAKISTAN: L W W W W
RECENT form SRI LANKA: L W L L W

Sri Lanka and Pakistan have locked horns 161 times in ODI cricket. Pakistan leads the way with a dominant 97 wins, whereas Sri Lanka have won 59 games. Four games have ended as a no result, whereas one match ended as a tie. 

Team Analysis: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka

How will the two teams, i.e., Pakistan and Sri Lanka, fare in the 5th ODI in Lahore? Let’s take a look.

Pakistan (PAK)

  • Shadab Khan got into the eleven in the last game and made an impact straightaway.
  • He should keep his place in the eleven over Faheem Ashraf now.
  • Haris Rauf could be rested ahead of this game on a rotational basis. Naseem Shah should be the one replacing him.
  • Saim Ayub has been released from the squad to play domestic cricket.
  • Sahibzada Farhan has replaced him in the squad and should feature in this game.

Expected Starting 11

Fakhar Zaman, Sahibzada Farhan, Babar Azam, Saad Baig (WK), Salman Ali Agha, Hasan Nawaz, Shadab Khan, Arafat Minhas, Shaheen Shah Afridi (C), Razaullah, Naseem Shah/Haris Rauf

Sri Lanka (SL)

  • The visitors have just won a game in the series with a record chase.
  • Changes in the batting unit are least expected.
  • However, among the bowlers, a fully fit Dushmantha Chameera is awaited.
  • If available, he should be included in the eleven for Dilshan Madushanka.

Expected Starting 11

Avishka Fernando, Kamindu Mendis, Kusal Mendis (C), Pavan Rathnayake, Sahan Arachchige, Janith Liyanage, Dasun Shanaka, Dunith Wellalage, Eshan Malinga, Dushmantha Chameera/Dilshan Madushanka, Asitha Fernando

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the 5th ODI of the Pakistan ODI Tri-Series between Sri Lanka and Pakistan at the Gaddafi Stadium in Rawalpindi:

PITCH REPORTWEATHER REPORT
Traditionally batting‑friendly surface with good pace and carry.Temperature: Warm, around 27–29°C in the afternoon.
Seamers get early swing with the new ball.Humidity: Moderate at 50–55%, aiding swing.
Spinners find grip in the middle overs as the pitch dries.Rain Chance: Minimal (~5%), clear skies expected.
Outfield is quick, rewarding timing and placement.Wind: Light breeze (8–10 km/h), negligible impact.
A first‑innings score of 280–300 is competitive.Overall: Bright and dry conditions, perfect for uninterrupted cricket.
Toss may favor batting first, as chasing under lights can be tricky with dew.Match Conditions: Ideal for a high‑scoring ODI clash.

Toss Prediction

At Rawalpindi’s Gaddafi Stadium, captains are likely to bat first, as the surface favors stroke‑play and chasing under lights can be tricky with dew. A first‑innings score of 280–300 looks par, making early momentum crucial. The toss could well shape the path to the tri‑series final.

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The online live streaming of the 5th ODI match of the Pakistan ODI Tri-Series 2026 will take place live on the Sports TV YouTube Channel. The live TV coverage for this series won’t be available in India.

PAK vs Sl: Today’s Match Predictions

Pakistan should enter this contest as the favorites. They are the only undefeated side in this series and have won their last five ODIs on the trot against Sri Lanka. Having already made it to the final of this tri-series, Pakistan is primed to get the better of Sri Lanka for the second time in this series. Therefore, for now, the host, Pakistan, is expected to win the PAK vs SL 5th ODI match of the Pakistan ODI Tri-Series 2026.

 

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Pakistan Logo
Odds » 1.46
VS.
Sri Lanka Logo
Odds » 2.73