PAK vs SL Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: Asia Cup 2025, Super 4 Match 3, September 23

Two teams that have had a lousy start to the Super 4 stage will be up against each other in the 3rd match of the Super 4 stage. The 6-time Asia Cup champions, Sri Lanka, will be up against the 2-time champions, Pakistan, in what is expected to be a highly intense clash. Pakistan lost their opening game of Super 4 stage to archrivals Pakistan, whereas Sri Lanka lost to Bangladesh. In this post, we have come up with free expert tips for the Super 4, Match 3, Asia Cup 2025 T20I encounter between PAK vs SL at the Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi.

Win Probability: PAK vs SL

Both teams enter this contest following losses in their previous fixtures. Both teams will be low on confidence, especially Pakistan, who have lost twice as many games against their archrivals India. Sri Lanka would be gutted losing to Bangladesh in a game they could have won. For now, both teams stand on the same page, and choosing a winner between the two is quite a tricky task. However, we are slightly in favor of Sri Lanka winning this game. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the PAK vs SL Super 4, Match 3 at the Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi.

PAK: 46% win chance
SL: 54% win chance

Sri Lanka have lost only a solitary T20I out of the last 5 games. Their only loss came in the previous fixture against Bangladesh.
Pakistan has managed 3 wins and 2 losses from their last 5 T20Is.
Sri Lanka has dominated Pakistan in the last 5 completed T20Is, having won all of them.

Cricket Betting Tips for PAK vs SL- Super 4, Match 3

Sahibzada Farhan to score Over 21.5

The Pakistan opener is their leading run-getter so far in this competition. He is fresh off a fifty in the last game and will be eager to continue.

Place Bet @ Odds 1.85 »

Pathum Nissanka to score Over 22.5

The Sri Lankan opener is their leading run-getter in the tournament so far for Sri Lanka with two fifties to his name and has scored 146 runs from 4 innings. He will be the key batter at the top.

Place Bet @ Odds 1.83 »

Kusal Mendis to score Over 20.5

Kusal Mendis is the second-highest run-getter in the tournament for Sri Lanka. He has a fifty to his name already against Bangladesh in the group stage fixture.

Place Bet @ Odds 1.85 »

Fakhar Zaman to score Over 21.5

Fakhar Zaman has so far struck 105 runs from 4 innings in this competition. He opened the innings against India in the last game and is expected to retain his position.

Place Bet @ Odds 1.85 »

PAK vs SL Today’s Match Prediction

Check out our prediction for the PAK vs SL Super 4, Match 3 at the Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi.

Things Pakistan says, things Pakistan does, and the major gap between them

Pakistan’s T20I side is struggling big time. Winning the tri-series in Sharjah right before the Asia Cup 2025 didn’t do any wonders for them, as the team has consistently failed against tough opponents. Coach Mike Hesson’s appointment came with high hopes and a major goal of transforming the landscape of the T20I side, but the picture remains the same with different characters.

Performing well in the Asia Cup was a litmus test for both Pakistan and their head coach, but the team so far has managed to register only two wins from 4 games, and both those wins came against minnows Oman and the United Arab Emirates. Having lost to India in their first game of the Super 4 stage, Pakistan now find themselves in a precarious state of staying alive in the competition.

Sri Lanka is another opponent who will be forging into this contest with a lot of intensity, particularly after going down against Bangladesh in their opening fixture of the Super 4 stage. Sri Lanka will be a tough opponent for Pakistan, especially after failing to win a single contest against them in the last 5 T20Is. If they lose this fixture, Pakistan will be on the verge of an exit from the competition and once again have to be dependent on ifs and buts.

Expect Sri Lanka to go after Pakistan with the ferocity of a lion in hunt mode

Sri Lanka will be roaring into the Asia Cup 2025 Super 4 clash against Pakistan with the ferocity of a lion in hunt mode. The Lankan Lions must be severely disappointed with the way they went down against the Bangladesh Tigers in the last game by 4 wickets. Expect them to come out with sharpened intent, eager to reclaim momentum and keep their final hopes alive.

Pakistan, too, will be feeling the heat. Their own campaign has been riddled with inconsistency, and facing a fired-up Sri Lankan side could be a stern test of temperament and tactics. With both teams nursing losses, this match becomes more than just a Super 4 fixture, it’s a battle of pride, survival, and redemption.

Sri Lanka’s spinners will be key on a surface that’s expected to grip, while Pakistan’s top order must find answers to the Lankan attack that’s likely to come hard from ball one. The energy will be raw, the stakes sky-high, and the atmosphere electric. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

PAK vs SL Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 23
SL won: 10
PAK won: 13
No Result: 0
RECENT form SRI LANKA: W W W W L
RECENT form PAKISTAN: W W L W L

Pakistan and Sri Lanka have had a tailored rivalry in T20 cricket. The two teams have met 23 times against each other, wherein Pakistan has 13 wins to their name and Sri Lanka has won 10. However, in the last 5 instances, Sri Lanka has dominated by winning all five games.

Team Analysis: Pakistan and Sri Lanka

How will the two teams, i.e., Pakistan and Sri Lanka, fare in the Super 4, Match 3, of the Asia Cup 2025? Let’s take a look.

Pakistan (PAK)

The ploy of bringing in Hussain Talat for Hasan Nawaz didn’t work for Pakistan in the last game. Therefore, we might see Nawaz back in the eleven again.
It was a blunder by the skipper and team management not to send Mohammad Haris to bat. He was pushed way back and didn’t come out to bat in a crucial game against India.
Haris should bat at 4 or 5 in this game.
The bowling unit is expected to remain unchanged.

Expected Starting 11

Saim Ayub, Sahibzada Farhan, Fakhar Zaman, Salman Agha (C), Hussain Talat/Hasan Nawaz, Mohammad Haris (WK), Mohammad Nawaz, Faheem Ashraf, Shaheen Afridi, Haris Rauf, Abrar Ahmed

Sri Lanka (SL)

Dushmantha Chameera’s poor outing against Bangladesh might tempt the team management to think beyond him.
Matheesha Pathirana might come into the eleven for Chameera.
Dunit Wellalage has also had two ordinary outings, and his personal tragedy has taken a toll on his mental space.
Maheesh Theekshana is an option the Sri Lankan team management could opt to replace Wellalage with.
No changes in the batting unit is expected.

Expected Starting 11:

Pathum Nissanka, Kusal Mendis (WK), Kamil Mishara, Kusal Perera, Charith Asalanka (C), Dasun Shanaka, Kamindu Mendis, Wanindu Hasaranga, Dunith Wellalage/Maheesh Theekshana, Dushmantha Chameera/Matheesha Pathirana, Nuwan Thushara

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the Super 4, 3rd match of the Asia Cup 2025 between Pakistan and UAE at the Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi:

Pitch Report	Weather Report
The surface is slow and dry, offering turn and grip for spinners as the game progresses.	Hot and humid evening expected with temperatures around 34°C, feeling closer to 40°C.
Batting early on is relatively easier, but scoring remains challenging throughout.	Humidity levels will hover around 63% to 66%, which may affect bowlers’ grip.
Low bounce and sluggish pace make cutters and slower balls highly effective.	Light northwesterly breeze will offer minimal assistance to swing bowlers.
Dew is unlikely, but chasing teams may benefit from a slightly truer surface under lights.	Rain chances are below 3%, with partly cloudy skies and hazy visibility.

Toss Prediction

Given the dry and slow nature of the Abu Dhabi pitch, coupled with minimal dew and hazy conditions, the team winning the toss is likely to opt for bowling first. Chasing under lights offers slightly better batting conditions, and spinners can exploit the surface more effectively in the second innings.

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The online live streaming of the Super 4s, 3rd match of the Asia Cup 2025, will take place live on the Sony LIV app. The live TV coverage for this series will be available on the Sony Sports 1, 3, and 5 channels.

PAK vs SL: Today’s Match Predictions

Both Sri Lanka and Pakistan are desperate for a win to stay alive in the competition. Pakistan is termed as the favorite by various sportsbooks, with odds favoring them. However, we are backing Sri Lanka to win this game, going by their current form and their recent record against Pakistan in T20I cricket. Therefore, as per our prediction, Pakistan is expected to win the PAK vs SL Match 3 of the Super 4s of the Asia Cup 2025.