SA vs AUS Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: World Test Championship 2025 FINAL, June 11
Published on: Jun 10, 2025 12:50 pm IST | Updated on: Jun 10, 2025 5:28 pm IST
The highly anticipated World Test Championship 2025 is upon us. The biggest prize in Test cricket, the Test Mace, will be up for grabs at the home of cricket, i.e., Lord’s in London. Two teams that have made it to the finals after a grueling two-year competition are South Africa and the defending champions, Australia. South Africa would be seeking its first time glory in whites, whereas Australia would be looking to defend their title from 2023, when they defeated Team India to become champions. In this post, we have come up with free expert tips for the WTC 2025 Final, SA vs AUS at the Lord’s.
Win Probability: SA vs AUS
South Africa and Australia are two formidable sides, and they are all set to go on a collision course at the home of cricket for the ultimate prize. The reigning champions, Australia, are entering the final on the back of 4 wins from their last 5 Tests, including a draw, and finished second on the 2023-2025 WTC Points table. On the other hand, South Africa has been exceptional, having won all their last 5 Tests and heading into the finals with utmost confidence. Talking about win probability, Australia has always been a side that knows how to win big games and ICC finals. Therefore, Australia will go into this contest with the upper hand. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the SA vs AUS, ICC World Test Championship 2025 Final match.
SA: 36% win chance
AUS: 64% win chance
- South Africa finished at pole position in the ICC World Test Championship 2023-2025 points table.
- They won 8 matches, lost 3, and drew 1 out of the 12 matches to finish with a 69.44% points percentage.
- Australia won 13, lost 4, and drew 2 matches out of 19 to finish second on the points table.
- Australia’s winning percentage was 67.54%.
Cricket Betting Tips for SA vs AUS- ICC WTC Final 2025
Steve Smith to score Over 36.5 in 1st Innings
Australia's best Test batter averages 45 in his last 10 Test matches and has scored 734 runs. He has 4 Test centuries to his name from the last 5 games at Lord's.
Aiden Markram to score Over 24.5 in 1st Innings
The Proteas opener will be a quintessential figure at the top. He has scored over 250 runs in the last 4 Tests and will be hoping to be among the runs in this all-important game.
Usman Khawaja to score Over 28.5 in 1st Innings
The Australian opener scored a brilliant double century in Sri Lanka in adverse conditions. He must stoked with his performance in the last series and will look to resonate the same in this game.
Mitchell Starc to be the Top Bowler
English swinging conditions would be apt for Australia's left-arm quick, who has been brilliant in these conditions in the past and has 34 scalps to his name in the last 10 Test matches.
SA vs AUS Today’s Match Prediction
Check out our prediction for the SA vs AUS ICC World Test Championship 2025 Final.
Australia is eyeing its second WTC Final victory in a row
2023 saw Australia decimate India in the WTC final held at the Oval in London by a whopping margin of 209 runs. That was a clinical performance from Australia, and after two long years, Pat Cummins and his men would be looking to recreate the magic to claim the coveted Test mace for the second time in a row.
Talking about their journey in this WTC cycle, Australia is heading into the finals on the back of 2 tough series victories. At home, Australia defeated Team India 3-1 in a five-match Test series despite losing the first game at Perth. In the process, Australia reclaimed the Border-Gavaskar Trophy after 10 long years and also booked a berth for the WTC finals. After India, Australia romped past Sri Lanka in an away Test series of two matches. Australia clean-swept Sri Lanka in their den and did wonders for their confidence.
Their preparations for this big game are on point. With their pace trio of Mitchell Starc, Pat Cummins, and Josh Hazlewood all available for selection and raring to go. On the batting front, the veteran Steve Smith will be leading the pack, as he has scored 4 Test centuries at Lord’s in his last 5 Test appearances. Besides Smith, Marnus Labuschagne, Usman Khawaja, and Travis Head will be the others who pose a huge threat to the South African bowling lineup.
South Africa needs to win the Test Mace to redefine Test cricket in the country
For South Africa, the WTC final is nothing less than a prize they will cherish for ages. South Africa boasts a scintillating record at Lord’s. Since their readmission to Test cricket in 1991, the Proteas have played seven Tests at Lord’s, winning five, drawing one, and losing only once in 2017.
The Temba Bavuma-led side is heading into the big final on the back of 4 home Test series on the trot. South Africa’s brilliant run started with a 1-0 win over the West Indies at home, followed by whitewashing the three Asian teams, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, and Pakistan, respectively, in 2-match series.
Despite being in a transition phase, especially in red-ball, South Africa has done wonders to reach the finals of the ICC WTC Final in 2025. However, their inspirational run will face their stiffest challenge in the form of Australia, who will leave no stone unturned in the course of retaining their World Test Championship mace. Australia will come all guns blazing, and the young South African side led by Temba Bavuma should be wary of this fact and curate their plans accordingly to lay their hands on the priceless Test mace. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.
SA vs AUS Head-to-Head
Matches Played: 101
SA won: 26
AUS won: 54
Draw: 21
RECENT form AUSTRALIA: D W W W W
RECENT form SOUTH AFRICA: W W W W W
A total of 101 matches have been played between the two sides in Test format. Australia leads the way with 54 wins, whereas South Africa has only 26 wins to their name. 21 matches between the two sides ended in a draw. Talking about the recent battles between the two sides, in the last 5 fixtures, both teams have won 2 apiece, with one game ending in a draw.
Team Analysis: South Africa vs Australia
How will the two teams, i.e., South Africa vs Australia, fare in the WTC 2025 Final? Let’s take a look.
Australia (AUS)
- The Australian side looks settled, with almost all the players available for selection.
- Usman Khawaja is all set to open with a new partner in the big final. Marnus Labuschagne will be opening the innings for the first time in his career in Test matches. Labuschagne’s experience will be considered over 19-year-old Sam Konstas.
- All-rounder Cameron Green is set to return from injury and will be slated to bat at no 3.
- Steven Smith, Travis Head, Josh Inglis, and wicket-keeper batter Alex Carey will complete the batting lineup.
- The tried and tested bowling trio of Pat Cummins, Josh Hazlewood, and Mitchell Starc will remain intact, with Nathan Lyon being the lone spinner in the eleven.
Expected Starting 11
Usman Khawaja, Marnus Labuschagne, Cameron Green, Steve Smith, Travis Head, Josh Inglis, Alex Carey (wk), Pat Cummins (C), Mitchell Starc, Nathan Lyon, Josh Hazlewood
South Africa (SA)
- South Africa has announced a 15-man squad for this all-important game.
- The team has already announced their playing XI for this big game.
- Aiden Markram will open the innings alongside Ryan Rickelton.
- Skipper Temba Bavuma will bat at no 3.
- Wiaan Mulder, Tristan Stubbs, David Bedingham and keeper Kyle Verreynne will form the rest of the batting unit.
- Keshav Maharaj will be the lone spinner in the eleven.
- Among the pacers, Kagiso Rabada will be leading the charge, and he will get able support from the likes of Marco Jansen and Lungi Ngidi.
Expected Starting 11:
Aiden Markram, Ryan Rickelton, Temba Bavuma (C), Wiaan Mulder, Tristan Stubbs, David Bedingham, Kyle Verreynne (WK), Marco Jansen, Keshav Maharaj, Kagiso Rabada, Lungi Ngidi.
Weather Conditions and Pitch Report
Here’s the pitch and weather report for the World Test Championship Final between South Africa and Australia at the Lord’s, London:
| Pitch Report | Weather Report |
|---|---|
| The Lord’s pitch is expected to be pace-friendly, offering seam movement early on due to the use of the Dukes ball. | The weather on June 11 is forecasted to be pleasantly warm, with a high of 25°C and partly sunny skies. |
| Historically, the pitch provides good bounce, assisting both fast bowlers and batters who play well off the back foot. | Cloud cover will be around 64%, but there is only an 8% chance of rain, meaning play is unlikely to be disrupted. |
| As the match progresses, spinners may come into play, especially if the surface dries out. | Humidity will be moderate at 54%, with winds blowing at 15 km/h, which could aid swing bowling. |
| The slope at Lord’s can be tricky for bowlers and batters, influencing movement off the pitch. | Evening temperatures will drop to 15°C, with increased cloud cover (94%), but conditions will remain dry. |
Toss Prediction
The weather on June 11 is expected to offer partly sunny skies. This means we won’t witness typical English weather with clouds hovering. Therefore, in conditions like this, it’s better to bat first, as the conditions will be batting-friendly. The team winning the toss should look to bat first and put some runs on the board.
Where to Watch Today’s Match
The online live streaming of the World Test Championship 2025 Final match between South Africa and Australia will take place live on the Hotstar App. TV viewers can watch the match live on the Star Sports 1 and 2 channels.
SA vs AUS: Today’s Match Predictions
Heading into this contest, Australia will enter as the favorites, going by their current form, and odds are also in their favor. South Africa will be the underdog as they have an inexperienced batting lineup, which can trigger them in this match. Right now, as per our prediction, the reigning champions, Australia, are expected to win the WTC 2025 Final SA vs AUS Dream11 Prediction contest.