Match 3rd Quarterfinal
2026 Asian Games
September 29, 2026, 5:30 am
Sri Lanka Logo
Sri Lanka
Odds » 1.6
VS.
Nepal Logo
Nepal
Odds » 2.25
Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin

SL vs NEP Today’s Match Prediction & Cricket Betting Tips: Asian Games 2026, Quarterfinal 3, September 29

Published on: Sep 28, 2026 4:24 pm IST | Updated on: Sep 28, 2026 5:11 pm IST

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The first two quarterfinals of the men’s cricket competition in the 2026 Asian Games have been washed out due to rain. India and Pakistan progressed to the semifinals on account of their better ICC T20I rankings. Next up is the 3rd quarterfinal set to be played between Nepal and Sri Lanka at the Korogi Sports Park in Nisshin. The winner of this game will face Pakistan in the first semi-final, whereas the loser will pack their bags and exit the competition. In this post, we have come up with free expert tips for the 3rd quarterfinal match of the 2026 Asian Games, SL vs NEP at the Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin.

Win Probability: SL vs NEp

Sri Lanka and Nepal were supposed to collide in a T20I 2 years ago in the 2024 T20 World Cup but unfortunately the match could never start due to persistent downpours. Two years later, these sides are all set to collide in the quarterfinal stage of the Asian Games 2026 and will be hoping to secure a win here to progress to the semis. Sri Lanka is playing with a second-string side in the competition, making Nepal the favorite to enter the contest. Expect Nepal to have the upper hand, and the win probability meter should slightly favor them. Let’s continue with the post and find out the best cricket tips for the 3rd quarterfinal match of the 2026 Asian Games, SL vs NEP at the Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin.

SL: 47% win chance
NEP: 60% win chance

  • Nepal is heading into this contest on the back of topping Group A with a win over Afghanistan and playing a rain-abandoned game against the hosts, Japan.
  • Nepal have won their last 6 completed T20Is.
  • Sri Lanka will be playing their first game of the competition.
  • Their recent form in T20Is is terrible, having lost four of their last 5 T02Is.

Cricket Betting Tips for SL vs NEP- Quarterfinal 3

Niroshan Dickwella to score Over 15.5

Niroshan, on his return to international cricket, scored a fifty in the Test match against India recently. He will be responsible for providing Lanka with a quick start.

Chamika Karunaratne to score Over 12.5

Chamika Karunaratne had a brilliant CPL season with the Galle Gallants earlier this year, particularly with the bat. He surely found his mojo back and will look to carry on with the same in this competition.

Kushal Bhurtel to score Over 15.5

Kushal failed with the bat but covered it up with the ball in the last game against Afghanistan. He has been Nepal's best batter in recent times, having scored 488 runs in his last 10 innings at a thoroughly impressive strike rate of 186.

Rohit Kumar Paudel to score Over 14.5

Rohit Kumar has been Nepal's cornerstone in batting, particularly when it comes to playing a sensible knock. He knows how to play the waiting game and attack at the right moment. Expect Rohit to have a good day at the office.

SL vs NEP Today’s Match Prediction

Check out our prediction for the SL vs NEP quarterfinal 3 at Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin

Can Sri Lanka perform at their best with a second-fiddle squad?

Sri Lanka’s participation in the 2026 Asian Games comes with a unique challenge. With their main squad occupied on the England tour for six white‑ball matches, the board has dispatched a second‑string side to Japan, led by Sahan Arachchige. This team may lack the star power of the senior unit, but it still carries enough quality to make an impact.

The presence of experienced campaigners like Niroshan Dickwella adds stability at the top, while Vijayakanth Viyaskanth’s spin and Nuwan Thushara’s pace variations provide crucial balance in the bowling department. Binura Fernando’s left‑arm angle and Chamika Karunaratne’s all‑round skills further strengthen the squad, ensuring they are not short on match‑winners.

The real test, however, lies in consistency. Playing under the shadow of the senior team, this side must prove its mettle by performing collectively and seizing opportunities. For Arachchige, it is a chance to showcase leadership and inspire his men to punch above their weight.

While expectations may be tempered, Sri Lanka’s second‑fiddle squad has the potential to surprise. If they click as a unit, they can still deliver performances worthy of their nation’s proud cricketing tradition.

Nepal have a golden opportunity to register their first-ever T20I win over Sri Lanka

Nepal stand on the brink of history at the 2026 Asian Games, with a golden chance to secure their first‑ever T20I victory over Sri Lanka. Having already booked their place in the quarterfinals, they now face a second‑string Sri Lankan side, which makes this clash even more enticing for Dipendra Singh Airee’s men.

The batting unit, led by Kushal Bhurtel and Asif Sheikh, will be crucial in setting the tone at the top. Rohit Kumar Paudel and skipper Airee provide stability in the middle order, while the all‑round brilliance of Sompal Kami and Karan KC ensures balance between bat and ball. In the bowling department, Sandeep Lamichhane’s spin wizardry remains Nepal’s trump card, capable of dismantling even experienced line‑ups.

Sri Lanka, though weakened by the absence of their main squad, still carries seasoned campaigners. Yet, Nepal’s momentum and hunger for a breakthrough win could tilt the scales. A victory here would not only seal their semifinal berth but also mark a landmark achievement in Nepal’s cricketing journey. This is more than just a quarterfinal; it’s a chance for Nepal to etch their name in history with a statement win. Let’s move ahead and check the cricket tips.

SL vs NEP Head-to-Head

Matches Played: 1
SL won: 0
NEP won: 0
No Result: 1
Tied: 0
RECENT form SRI LANKA: W L L L L
RECENT form NEPAL: W W W W NR

Nepal and Sri Lanka were supposed to meet in the 2024 ICC T20 World Cup, but the match was called off due to persistent rain. 

Team Analysis: Japan vs Afghanistan 

How will the two teams, i.e., Afghanistan vs Japan, fare in match 1 of the Asian Games 2026? Let’s take a look.

Afghanistan (AFG)

  • The Sri Lankan board has announced a second-fiddle 15-man squad for the 2026 Asian Games led by Sahan Arachchige.
  • Experienced wicket-keeper batter Niroshan Dickwella will be opening the innings alongside Lasith Croospulle.
  • The skipper is expected to bat at no 3 followed by the likes of Nuwanidu Fernando, Ashen Bandara, and all-rounder Chamika Karunaratne.
  • Tahrindu Rathnayake should be the other all-rounder in the eleven.
  • Wanuja Sahan, Vijayakanth Viyaskanth, Nuwan Thushara, and Binura Fernando are expected to form the bowling lineup.

Expected Starting 11

Niroshan Dickwella (WK), Lasith Croospulle, Sahan Arachchige (C), Nuwanidu Fernando, Ashen Bandara, Chamika Karunaratne, Tharindu Ratnayake, Wanuja Sahan, Vijayakanth Viyaskanth, Nuwan Thushara, Binura Fernando

Nepal (NEP)

  • Nepal have got no good reason to tinker with the eleven that helped them beat Afghanistan in their opening game of the competition.
  • Expect an unchanged eleven to take the field with no reported injury concerns as of now.

Expected Starting 11:

Kushal Bhurtel, Aasif Sheikh (WK), Sundeep Jora, Kushal Malla, Rohit Kumar Paudel, Dipendra Singh Airee (C), Gulshan Jha, Lokesh Bam, Karan KC, Sandeep Lamichhane, Lalit Rajbanshi

Weather Conditions and Pitch Report

Here’s the pitch and weather report for the 3rd quarterfinal between Sri Lanka and Afghanistan of the Asian Games 2026 at the Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin.

Pitch ReportWeather Report
The surface is usually balanced, offering assistance to both batters and bowlers.Continuous rainfall over the past three days has left the outfield damp.
Early moisture could help seamers extract swing and seam movement.Morning temperature around 22–23°C, cool and humid.
Spinners may struggle initially but could find grip if the pitch dries during play.Cloud cover remains heavy, with rain chances high (50–60%).
Batters will need patience; stroke play may be restricted if the pitch stays tacky.Humidity above 70%, aiding swing conditions.
A competitive first‑innings score is expected to be around 140–150 if conditions remain damp.Ground staff may face challenges ensuring a playable surface.

Toss Prediction

With three days of rain leaving the pitch damp and the outfield heavy, captains may prefer bowling first to exploit seam movement under cloudy skies. However, looming showers and potential DLS scenarios could make chasing the safer option. The toss will be decisive in navigating rain‑curtailed conditions in this knockout clash.

Where to Watch Today’s Match

The online live stream of the 3rd quarterfinal between Nepal and Sri Lanka will be available on the Sony LIV App. TV streaming will be available on Sony Sports Channels.

SL vs NEP: Today’s Match Predictions

Sri Lanka will be fielding a second-fiddle side with most of their key players missing. Nepal, meanwhile, are oozing with confidence after taming Afghanistan in their tournament opener. Also, the Nepali team has played a game here, and they know the conditions better than Sri Lanka, who are yet to play a game in this competition. Therefore, as per our prediction, Nepal is expected to win the SL vs NEP 3rd quarterfinal of the Asian Games 2026 at the Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin.

 

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Sri Lanka Logo
Odds » 1.6
VS.
Nepal Logo
Odds » 2.25